https://t.co/AiyoSrJCfV There is an incresing possibility that the Lib Dems could form the next UK Govt on a platform on No Brexit
— Howard Dean (@GovHowardDean) September 26, 2016
Back in late 2003, not too long after the Iraq War, the governor of Vermont, Howard Dean, was causing a stir on the WH2004 betting markets. He had become just about the first politician to tap into the power of the internet and was running a very effective online campaign building up hundreds of thousands of supporters.
By early January 2004 ahead of the Iowa caucuses he looked unstoppable with the money and, apparently, campaign organisation see see him through the primary battle. On Betfair he moved to a 65% chance of winning the nomination.
It all started to fall to pieces at the first hurdle. Against all the predictions he failed in Iowa and his shouting response to the result became an immediate online hit.
This is by way of introduction to his observation on the UK political scene in the Tweet above.
For the record I don’t believe he is right.