The Nearest-run Thing – the BREXIT result was tight but so have other referendums

The Nearest-run Thing – the BREXIT result was tight but so have other referendums

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Sunil looks at close referendum outcomes “It has been a damned nice thing — the nearest run thing you ever saw in your life.” – those were the immortal words of one Arthur Wellesley (the Duke of Wellington) in the aftermath of the Battle of Waterloo in June 1815. I keep seeing comments on PB.com, and the wider MSM, about the EU Referendum being a close result, with the implication that it was the closest referendum result in human history,…

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Smith backer, Don Brind is amused to find himself on the same page as arch Corbynista Paul Mason

Smith backer, Don Brind is amused to find himself on the same page as arch Corbynista Paul Mason

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Labour needs a leader who can connect with working class voters “Don’t forget, It was Godfather Two that won the Oscar”. That was the cheering thought offered to a bunch of Saving Labour stalwarts who gathered to reflect on their failure to avert Jeremy Corbyn’s second leadership landslide. The unanimous view was that Labour still needs saving from electoral disaster through a change of leader. The Godfather analogy inspires the hope that the next time will be more successful. There…

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Get ready for another CON by-election defence if the Heathrow expansion is given the go-ahead

Get ready for another CON by-election defence if the Heathrow expansion is given the go-ahead

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Sun Zac’s 23k majority looks strong One of the most predicted by-elections of this parliament, at Zac Goldsmith’s Richmond Park, looks set to come about if the government, as expected very shortly, announces that it is going ahead with the expansion at Heathrow. Zac, of course, was the Tory candidate in May’s London Mayoral election and would likely have resigned his seat then if he’d beaten Sadiq Khan. That wasn’t to be but Zac’s long-standing threat to resign if LHR3…

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Theresa May doesn’t have a Willie and it shows. She urgently and desperately needs a Willie in her government

Theresa May doesn’t have a Willie and it shows. She urgently and desperately needs a Willie in her government

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https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/787616816243871744 If she loses her Chancellor so early in her Premiership, people might infer Mrs May is wholly unsuited to be Prime Minister According to Margaret Thatcher one of the prerequisites of being a successful Prime Minister was “Every Prime Minister needs a Willie.” She was referring to William Whitelaw, her deputy, as she further expanded, “Willie is a big man in character as well as physically. He wanted the success of the Government which from the first he accepted would be…

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My 100/1 tip to win the 2020 London Mayoral election

My 100/1 tip to win the 2020 London Mayoral election

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Embed from Getty Images My betting tip if Sadiq Khan is hors de combat from the next Mayoral race. Assuming the unelected PM doesn’t change her mind, the next general election will be on the same day as the London Mayoral election, Sadiq Khan has a choice to make, will he stand as London Mayor in 2020 or will he stand as an MP in 2020? I know some say Sadiq Khan would be better of waiting until 2025 to…

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Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down his country for his career.

Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down his country for his career.

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Greater love hath no man than this, that he lay down his country for his career. Super story by @ShippersUnbound pic.twitter.com/P20Z44xBUh — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 15, 2016 Boris wrote that Brexit could lead to economic shock, Scottish Independence, and Russian aggression 2 days before he backed Brexit. For the last few years I generally kept on advocating that Boris should be laid for the Tory leadership, that advice isn’t going to change for the next Tory leadership contest. It will…

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Mrs May must be hoping that the Tories do better in Thursday’s Witney contest than in recent local by elections

Mrs May must be hoping that the Tories do better in Thursday’s Witney contest than in recent local by elections

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The blue team’s performance is “less than optimal” This weekend is a massive one in the Witney Westminster by-election campaign the first such contest since 2014. There are only four days left and each of the parties have been throwing everything into it to ensure they get the best possible result. Defending Cameron’s 43% majority at GE2015 the Tories have quite a big comfort blanket and it is hard to see anything other than CON hold. The LDs are at…

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