Trumpgate could gift the Democrats the jackpot

Trumpgate could gift the Democrats the jackpot

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Some things just sound better in German. pic.twitter.com/GNjF5beLum — Jimmy Rushmore (@JimmyRushmore) October 14, 2016 The down-ballot races could result in both Houses going Blue Donald Trump is not a happy man. That’s not of itself news: Donald Trump is hardly ever a happy man – when did you last see him crack a relaxed smile? But all the same, he’s a particularly unhappy man at the moment. We know this because he’s lashing out at individuals, which is what…

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Cyclefree with a mischievous suggestion

Cyclefree with a mischievous suggestion

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  The most lethal word in the English language, in any language really, is “Why?” Why should matters be as they are, as they have always been, are questions not asked often enough. This is not to argue for pointless change. Often the only way to preserve something of value is to ask why we should have it and discover again the reasons for it. Those who bridle at the very idea of challenging some long-established belief or strongly held…

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New YouGov polling finds REMAIN voters far from being reconciled to leaving EU

New YouGov polling finds REMAIN voters far from being reconciled to leaving EU

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80% of remainers think we’ll be worse off – just 5% better off This is quite an interesting question from YouGov which the firm’s been using in one form or another since well before the referendum. The splits in the chart are the most stark – how those who voted REMAIN view it compared with LEAVE voters. Amongst GE2015 voters just CON voters tell YouGov that they believe country will be better off. 32% say worse off. Amongst the different…

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Celebrity Corbyn cheerleader Paul Mason caught on video expressing his doubts about the LAB leader saying he should be replaced by Clive Lewis

Celebrity Corbyn cheerleader Paul Mason caught on video expressing his doubts about the LAB leader saying he should be replaced by Clive Lewis

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Corbyn cheerleader Paul Mason caught by Sun attacking LAB leader & saying he should be replaced by Clive Lewis https://t.co/mCqg3qpEn9 pic.twitter.com/2n2cCWthoH — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 14, 2016 Just when all seemed sweetness and light within Labour One of the tireless advocates of Corbyn during the prolonged LAB leadership battle in the summer was the ex-Newsnight correspondent Paul Mason. As you’d expect he’s articulate and good on the telly and figured prominently in the coverage of the election. But there’s…

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White House Race round-up

White House Race round-up

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Latest WH2016 swing state polls from @politicalwire Continuing to look good for Cinton pic.twitter.com/8llCKpwEcJ — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 13, 2016 A woman in Northumberland who'd never bet before has staked £170,000 with Hills on Clinton at odds of 1/8. Potential winnings £21,250 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 13, 2016 Trump: ALL THE WOMEN ACCUSING ME ARE LYING!Also Trump: ALL THE WOMEN ACCUSING BILL CLINTON ARE TELLING THE ABSOLUTE TRUTH! — Sam Sanders (@samsanders) October 13, 2016 Good from @JoeKleinTIME…

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With the court challenge to Theresa May’s Royal Prerogative plan starting the latest Article 50 trigger date betting:

With the court challenge to Theresa May’s Royal Prerogative plan starting the latest Article 50 trigger date betting:

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Although nothing on the scale of EURef or WH2016 the biggest home political betting market at the moment is on when Article 50 will be invoked thus triggering the formal process of the UK exit from the EU. Mrs. May’s plan, which she stated again yesterday, is for this to happen by the end of March 2017. Her desire is to avoid Parliament having a say in the triggering decision stating there her authority is what happened on June 23rd….

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Is Hillary Clinton really the certainty that she now appears – the main topic in this week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast/TV Show

Is Hillary Clinton really the certainty that she now appears – the main topic in this week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast/TV Show

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On this week’s PB/Polling Matters show Keiran is joined by US elections experts Mark Gettleson from Portobello Communications and hosts of the LSE US podcast ‘The Ballpark’ Denise Baron and Chris Gilson. Topics discussed include reaction to Sunday’s debate and how the polls have moved since. Keiran questions whether US polls have an appropriately balanced sample. We look at polling on why US voters are voting the way they are – is it ‘for’ each candidate or ‘against’ their respective…

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YouGov London poll boost sees even UKIP & CON voters warming to Sadiq Khan

YouGov London poll boost sees even UKIP & CON voters warming to Sadiq Khan

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What is it about the London Mayoralty that gives incumbents good ratings? When Boris Johnson was Mayor of London he always manage to secure better poll ratings than just about any of his Tory colleagues. For almost his entire 8 years at City Hall his leadership ratings remained positive and so it has been so far with Sadiq Khan who was elected in May. Before Boris the Mayoralty was held by Ken who, certainly for the first few years, achieved…

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