After decades we should be getting the Heathrow expansion decision tomorrow

After decades we should be getting the Heathrow expansion decision tomorrow

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Whatever the political fireworks will begin It has been an awful long time coming but we are promised that the long awaited decision on the expansion of Heathrow will come tomorrow. It’s reported that TMay and other ministers on the airport subcommittee will meet before cabinet. It is being speculated that we could get an announcement before the markets open because it is felt that this is so politically sensitive. Theresa May herself will make a Commons statement at 12.30….

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Why you shouldn’t rely on the BREXIT experience as a pointer to a Trump victory

Why you shouldn’t rely on the BREXIT experience as a pointer to a Trump victory

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Amazon The elections are not as comparable as they might appear There’s an ongoing argument that’s being made every day that Donald Trump can take heart from the fact that the BREXIT polling, betting and forecasts were wrong. Certainly there’s little doubt that in broad terms he appeals to the same demographic groups that backed LEAVE. He’s tapping into much of the anger that we saw in the referendum. In the betting we’ve also got what we experienced ahead of…

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This analysis might well disprove the theory of Shy Trumpers

This analysis might well disprove the theory of Shy Trumpers

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Also Trump didn't over-perform his polls in the primary. If anything the opposite happened. pic.twitter.com/UFVO6BvRLe — (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 22, 2016 If there are ‘Shy Trumpers’ you’d expect Donald Trump to have outperformed the polls during the primaries and caucuses. One of the more interesting theories posited during this White House race on why Donald Trump will become President is that the polls are wrong because there are shy Trumpers not being picked up in the polls. With Donald…

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The EU moves on

The EU moves on

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Embed from Getty Images Anyone who has been dumped will know the problem: what do you do next?  Bridget Jones was faced with exactly this dilemma.  She saw that she had two choices: to give up and accept permanent state of spinsterhood and eventual eating by Alsatians, or not. The rest of the European Union has just been dumped by Britain.  It faces much the same dilemma as Bridget Jones faced.  And like Bridget Jones, it is choosing not. Bridget…

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Betting on will Donald Trump accept the election result

Betting on will Donald Trump accept the election result

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Paddy Power have a market up on will Donald Trump accept the result of Presidential election, the exact wording of the bet is ‘Donald Trump to publicly confirm he accepts the result of the poll at the post election rally.’ Given his comments from earlier on this week, the only way I can see Trump accepting the result of the election is if he wins it, so you’d be better off betting on him winning the White House Race where…

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New YouGov England & Wales polling has LAB down at 18.7% if there was a STOP BREXIT candidate on the ballot

New YouGov England & Wales polling has LAB down at 18.7% if there was a STOP BREXIT candidate on the ballot

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50% of June 23rd REMAIN voters say they’d back such a new party Between Tuesday 11th and Friday 14th October 2016, YouGov surveyed 4,507 adults in England and Wales. Respondents were asked two questions. First, they were asked how they would vote in a general election, and were given as possible response options the standard list of parties YouGov uses for such questions. A second question was then asked including a STOP BREXIT party in the list. The actual wording…

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Why are the Lib Dems partying like it’s 1993?

Why are the Lib Dems partying like it’s 1993?

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They’re another party that has returned to comfort-zone politics They have learned nothing and forgotten nothing. So Talleyrand said of the Bourbons and so much the same might be said of the Lib Dems today. If there’s one thing that we should take from the Witney by-election campaigns, it was the extent to which 2010-15 are now for the Lib Dems non-years. With the disagreeable business of actually holding power and being able to do something with it now behind…

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