Hillary is now even more than reliant on the First Lady to get her over the line

Hillary is now even more than reliant on the First Lady to get her over the line

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The race looks a lot tighter than it 24 hours ago What’s become almost the best guide to how WH2016 is going is how often it is Michelle Obama who is making the news. She was the star of the Democratic convention in August – an event that was certainly a turning point in the polling. Recently she’s been really forceful on Trump’s issues with women and last night made a big speech alongside Hillary in North Carolina which got…

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Conservative David Herdson wonders whether Theresa May’s meritocracy is actually a mirage

Conservative David Herdson wonders whether Theresa May’s meritocracy is actually a mirage

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Why the nomination for Yorkshire’s Tory MEP will be a key test Prime ministers are inevitably remembered for their great achievements and their great failings: Attlee’s welfare state, Thatcher’s Falklands, Thatcher’s Poll Tax, Blair’s Iraq, and so on. Theresa May’s first ministry will be defined by the success or failure of Brexit. If it’s a failure, her first ministry will be her only one. But beneath the towering achievements and epic failures, governments leave a much broader legacy in the…

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Local By-Election Results : October 27th 2016 and October Summary

Local By-Election Results : October 27th 2016 and October Summary

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Rhyl West on Denbighshire (Lab defence) Result: Lab 199 (48% +5% on 2012), Con 93 (22% -3% on 2012), Ind (Shone) 55 (13%), Ind (Webster) 42 (10%), Lib Dem 26 (6%, no candidate in 2012) Labour HOLD with a majority of 106 (26%) on a swing of 4% from Con to Lab Total Independent vote: 97 (23% +6% on 2012) Collington (Ind defence) and Darwell (Con defence) on Rother Collington Result: Ind 818 (60% +20% on 2015), Con 393 (29%…

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Dramatic developments in the White House Race as FBI announces new moves on Clinton’s emails

Dramatic developments in the White House Race as FBI announces new moves on Clinton’s emails

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The FBI has launched a new investigation into Hillary Clinton's use of a private email server https://t.co/ExbTlmtWRq pic.twitter.com/HdRBRHLFTT — Financial Times (@FT) October 28, 2016 Hillary’s position on the betting markets slips Still watching how #Trump and #Hillary trade post FBI news. 12h graph. Note the large bet made 30m before news broke https://t.co/GVJbz6byu4 pic.twitter.com/0THvjROcx2 — BetData (@betdatapolitics) October 28, 2016 Wall St ‘fear gauge’ jumps 10% on new FBI Clinton probe https://t.co/pbZ5LJO9pu via @FastFT pic.twitter.com/LUvdpmDYYW — Financial Times (@FT)…

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Zac ahead 56%-29% in first Richmond poll and seems to be getting backing of the Standard

Zac ahead 56%-29% in first Richmond poll and seems to be getting backing of the Standard

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More from BMG poll. Goldsmith holds 74% of 2015 Con vote and would win even if there was a Con candidate (34 Zac / 25 LD / 20 Con) pic.twitter.com/XDTHUCNxOD — Keiran Pedley (@keiranpedley) October 28, 2016 London freebie, Standard, which was overwhelmingly on Zac's side in Mayoral race, continuing positive coverage https://t.co/g950UuR859 pic.twitter.com/h7xHyBJhEr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 28, 2016

There could be double trouble for the markets if Trump does manage to win

There could be double trouble for the markets if Trump does manage to win

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Adam Jepsen on how markets might reaction to Trump doing it At the moment, it looks like Hillary Clinton is firmly priced-in to be the next President and that might be a reasonable assumption. However, the markets appear to be far too complacent with regards to the risk of Donald Trump becoming President. In fact, during the whole campaign the markets have been unfazed by the Republican. While the US dollar did strengthen after Clinton had a solid first Presidential TV…

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Local By-Election Preview : October 27th 2016

Local By-Election Preview : October 27th 2016

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Rhyl West on Denbighshire (Lab defence) Result of council at last election (2012): Lab 18, Ind 12, Con 9, Plaid 7, Lib Dem 1 (No Overall Control, Lab short by 6) Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected Labour 378, 361 (43%) Conservatives 106, 99 (25%) Independent 142 (17%) Plaid Cymru 125 (15%) EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 23,955 (46%) LEAVE 28,117 (54%) on a turnout of 69% Candidates duly nominated: Les Harker (Con), Alan James (Lab),…

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Labour’s “cunning plan” for the Richmond Park by-election

Labour’s “cunning plan” for the Richmond Park by-election

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Don Brind says its to inflict misery on Zac by helping him get re-elected “The man’s a disgrace. His office is just along the corridor from mine and I never see him. He obviously doesn’t want to be an MP. The thoughts of a veteran MP provide the perfect justification for Labour fighting the Richmond Park by-election despite the call from an interesting trio of young MPs for Labour to stay out of Zac Goldsmith’s “vanity project”  Shadow Business Clive…

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