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What’s Massachusetts going to do Obama’s re-election chances?

What’s Massachusetts going to do Obama’s re-election chances?

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CNN Could be become a one-term president? The big overnight political news from the US was the dramatic loss by the Democrats of the Senate seat in Massachusetts that had been held by Edward Kennedy. Inevitably pundits are looking forward to to 2012 and asking whether this means that his chances have got worse. Before that, of course, he has to go through this November’s mid-terms which traditionally can prove challenging for the White House incumbent. It will also make…

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Massachusetts live thread

Massachusetts live thread

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Will it be a Democrat disaster in the Bay State? UPDATE: Massachusetts called for Brown (GOP) Boston Globe town-by-town results Vote count from AP Politico RCP Live Blog CNN feed Double Carpet

Pounds for Pence? (Or is Barbour a snip?)

Pounds for Pence? (Or is Barbour a snip?)

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Wikimedia Commons Peter the Punter looks at the 2012 White House market If there is anybody out there who does not yet know about Mike Smithson’s prediction that Barack Obama, then a 50/1 outsider, would win the US Presidency three years later, they had better acknowledge it now. Trying to follow that astonishing piece of tipping is surely sticking one’s neck out but PB is not for the fainthearted: so when California Girl, the latest recruit to my long list…

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Is this the shape of things to come?

Is this the shape of things to come?

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A guest article from Socrates (On election day in the US Socrates focuses on a battle that could change US politics – MS) While most eyes on the American political scene have been focusing on today’s gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey, the contest with the biggest national implications may turn out to be the congressional one in New York’s 23rd district. The bulk of New York State’s population is located in the strongly liberal metropolis that is New…

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The 3rd November Gubernatorials – New Jersey

The 3rd November Gubernatorials – New Jersey

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Atlantic City (Wikimedia Commons) Will Corzine scrape home in a tight race? Unlike Virginia which appears a done deal, the second of the gubernatorial elections on Tuesday, in the “Garden State” of New Jersey is a much tighter affair, with a key difference being the presence of an Independent candidate who has been polling in the teens. This race may yet see the re-election of the incumbent Governor despite his low approval ratings, and despite the lack of markets with…

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The 3rd November Gubernatorials – Virginia

The 3rd November Gubernatorials – Virginia

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Wikimedia Commons Are the GOP home and hosed in the Old Dominion? One thing America is never short of is elections, and so a year after winning the White House, the Democrats will have their first major test at the ballot box with the “off-year” races for Governor of New Jersey (to be examined next week) and Virginia, on Tuesday 3rd November. Virginia is now a key “purple state” in which the Democrats have done well at recent electoral cycles,…

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Will Obama be a One-Term Wonder?

Will Obama be a One-Term Wonder?

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Could healthcare be his ‘No We Can’t’ moment? It’s coming up to a year since the last US presidential election and the shine has come off Obama’s presidency quite rapidly. His approval ratings with Rasmussen went negative during July having started off at around +30%. That’s a measure of those with a strong opinion rather than the balance of all expressing a positive or negative view (which is just about equal), but in a country where the turnout is comparatively…

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