What important news has slipped by barely noticed recently? The planet continues to warm up If you aren’t worried enough about Covid-19, try a side serving of global warming to keep you awake at night. This year should have been relatively cool, given that it was a year with La Nina, the converse of El Nino. But it seems to have been the third warmest on record for the planet. The last decade (2011-2020) was announced as the hottest on…
What else has been happening recently that deserves more attention than it is getting? We don’t need to worry about public sector debt – yet During the Covid era, Britain’s public sector debt has risen at a giddying rate. Public sector net borrowing is estimated to have been £22.3 billion in October 2020, £10.8 billion more than in October 2019, which is both the highest October borrowing and the sixth-highest borrowing in any month since monthly records began in 1993. …
There’s been a lot going on recently, what with the resurgence of Covid-19, the new lockdown, the US elections and French terror attacks. What else has been going on that might be important but which might have escaped your attention? Lots, obviously. Here are three things that deserve more attention than they’re getting. 1 – Armenia has lost control of parts of Nagorno-Karabakh Armenia and Azerbaijan have vied for control of Nagorno-Karabakh (an enclave within Azerbaijan that is ethnically majority…
Donald Trump enters the race to be President. I’ll make a bold prediction now. Donald Trump will never be President of the United States of America Donald Trump enters the race to be President in 2016. http://t.co/hakRCMjDFh — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 16, 2015 Today’s essential must read. Conhome have published the inside story on how the Tories won the election, here is an excerpt. Having picked the seats and selected the candidates, the next step was to understand key voters in each constituency. Lynton…
Clydesdale South on South Lanarkshire (SNP defence) Result: Labour 1,492 votes (41% -3%), Scottish National Party 1,170 (32% -10%), Conservative 659 (18% +8%), United Kingdom Independence Party 233 (6% +2%), Green 104 (3%) Labour GAIN from SNP on the fifth count with a majority of 322 (9%) on a swing of 3.5% from SNP to Lab Turnout: 30.97% Newark in the Westminster Parliament (Con defence) Conservatives 17,431 votes (45.03% -8.82% on Election 2010) United Kingdom Independence Party 10,028 votes (25.91%…
Ipsos-Mori have published their almanac for 2012, and it makes for fascinating reading, analysing the movements of 2012, and putting them into context and the problems and opportunities facing all the parties and leaders. You can view it for free, here. They note the trigger for the Tories’ loss of support seems to have been the budget delivered by George Osborne on 21 March, or perhaps the “omnishambles†of U-turns and clarifications that followed it…… Gideon Skinner of Ipsos-Mori concludes…
And an article worth reading Over at Conhome, there’s an article by Mark Gettleson, who is is an elections and polling analyst, focusing on British and American politics. He writes for PoliticsHome.com and ‘The Knowledge’ in The House magazine. He is also a Liberal Democrat councillor. He looks at whether A Liberal Democrat meltdown could kill Tory chances at the next election TSE Mike Smithson is currently on holiday
Conservatives 30 (+1) Labour 41 (-4) Lib Dems 11 (+2) UKIP 9 (nc) There’s a new Angus Reid Poll out, the changes are from the last Angus Reid poll in June. On the Leadership ratings scores, the leaders net ratings are as follows David Cameron minus 23% Nick Clegg minus 48% Ed Miliband minus 17% Angus Reid polled online 2,012 randomly selected British adults who are Springboard UK panellists between August 14 to August 15, There’s a ComRes poll out this evening. There are…