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Category: Referendum

On the Betfair exchange punters are rating a victory for YES in the #IndyRef at 18.9pc

On the Betfair exchange punters are rating a victory for YES in the #IndyRef at 18.9pc

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On this big day for #IndyRef Betfair punters put the chance of Winning YES vote at 18.9% See chart pic.twitter.com/6wNdGL5zR3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 26, 2013 Producer @amberskynews holds Scotland's Future in her arms pic.twitter.com/P0s3Vl7v6O — Adam Boulton (@adamboultonSKY) November 26, 2013 But the Bank of England remains the lender of last resort SNP White Paper on what might kinda happen when banks go phut pic.twitter.com/ImQMRgp9Qu h/t @EdConwaySky — Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) November 26, 2013

Indy ref polling round up

Indy ref polling round up

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In the last 24 hours or so, a couple of polls have been released on the Scottish Independence Referendum, one with a large lead for the no side, and one with a lead for the yes side, so how to make sense of this, First up was a YouGov poll for Devo Plus. Indy Ref polling YouGov/Devo Plus Yes to Independence 29 (nc) No to Independence 59 (+4) Changes since last YouGov poll in October 2012 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 2, 2013   In…

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How do the Tories balance their electoral coalition?

How do the Tories balance their electoral coalition?

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Is the immigration debate symptomatic of a larger problem? The furore that has blown up among those who’ve noticed the two news stories connected to immigration this week is a good example of the problems the Conservatives face in winning an outright majority at the next election. On one level, the challenge is not too difficult, despite the boundary review not being completed.  If the economy continues to recover, with either living standards improving or at least the prospect of…

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Survation poll on the UK withdrawing from the EU

Survation poll on the UK withdrawing from the EU

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Survation have carried out a poll for Sky News, they asked: “Do you think the UK should remain a member of the EU?” The changes are from the Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday in January (note the question then was slightly different to the question asked in the Sky News Poll), as we can see this represents a 6.5% swing in favour of those wishing for the UK to remain in the EU since January. I found this bit…

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YouGov Scotland poll

YouGov Scotland poll

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There’s a new YouGov poll out on Scottish matters. On the independence front, 30% are in favour on independence. This represents a decline of 1% since March and a decline of 3% since January. 54% are opposed to independence. This represents no change since March and an increase of 1% since January. However it is over two years until the actual referendum, there is a lot of time for the polling to move. Both sides should remember that a year before the…

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Is Dave’s referendum pledge a cop-out?

Is Dave’s referendum pledge a cop-out?

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Will the time ever be right for it to be held? The big political news overnight is that Dave has said in an article under his name in the Telegraph that he’ll consider a referendum on the UK’s EU relationship. But there’s a catch. This will only happen when the time is right. To agree with the principle of doing something but with a caveat on the timing is the classic ruse used by politicians through the ages. The article…

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Can the SNP and Greens work together in the pro-independence campaign?

Can the SNP and Greens work together in the pro-independence campaign?

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James Kelly on the pro-independence campaign If there is to be a Yes vote in the Scottish independence referendum, a prerequisite is surely that the Yes campaign itself is as broadly-based as possible, and extends well beyond the SNP’s ranks. The potential is certainly there – the Scottish Green Party is supportive of independence, and its charismatic leader Patrick Harvie attended the Yes launch, where he was accorded virtual parity with Alex Salmond. The Scottish Socialist Party will also be…

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