politicalbetting.com

Populus (Resolution Foundation) Mar 11 Feb 7 CONSERVATIVES 38% 40% LABOUR 31% 30% LIB DEMS 21% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 6.5% Is the swing 1.7% bigger in the key seats? Thanks to Tabman on the previous thread for spotting this one. A standard national voting intention poll that was carried out by Populus the week before last for the Resolution Foundation. The figures above show changes on the most recently published standard national poll from the…

Read More Read More

An example of what’s been happening But WHY are Labour panellists less keen on taking part?? The head of YouGov Peter Kellner has outlined changes that are being made to the firm’s methodology for those on its panel listed as “Labour Loyal” identifiers – those who told the pollster this is the party they identify with and that is how they voted at the 2005 general election. As has been highlighted here before the on-line pollster appears to have had…

Read More Read More

YouGov Daily poll Mar 18 Mar 17 CONSERVATIVES 36% 36% LABOUR 32% 32% LIB DEMS 20% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3% 3% The Tory lead remains at 4 points So there’s not really a lot to say. Peter Kellner has published a statement on revisions to their methodology which I plan to look at tomorrow. Mike Smithson