Who won 2nd debate? ICM AR YouGov ComRes Populus Cameron 29% 32% 36% 30% 37% Clegg 33% 33% 32% 33% 36% Brown 29% 23% 29% 30% 27% UPDATED 0755 Clegg wins by three pollsters to two Clearly there will be great relief in the blue camp about the outcome last night although, as can be seen, the message from the pollsters in their instant surveys was mixed. In terms of straight wins it was Clegg 3 Cameron 2 with Brown…
Ipsos-MORI Is 4.5 years as opposition leader just too long? One of the key sets of figures that overseas pundits always look for are the approval ratings and, indeed, the most linked to PB post from the US this week has been that on the huge rise in Clegg’s rating. Clearly there’s a stark contrast between the Clegg and Cameron position and doubt the Tory leader will have learned lessons from the first debate and step up his game tonight…
Is this a rogue or is the LD bounce running out of steam? ComRes ITV/Independent Apr 19 Apr 18 CONSERVATIVES 35% 32% LIB DEMS 26% 28% LABOUR 26% 28% So, here is the long-awaited sensational poll from ComRes, with the Conservatives now on a nine-point lead over both the other parties. As with all polls that break from the recent trend, is this an outlier, or the first indication that the Lib Dem bounce has slightly deflated and the Tories…
YouGov/The Sun Apr 20 Apr 19 LIB DEMS 34% 31% CONSERVATIVES 31% 33% LABOUR 26% 27% Tonight’s YouGov poll has the Lib Dems in the sunlit uplands of the mid-thirties, three points ahead of the Tories and eight clear of Labour. How much higher would they need to go to become largest party – and can they secure anywhere near this kind of vote share on election day? Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame) www.electiongame.co.uk
Populus/The Times Apr 20 Apr 13 CONSERVATIVES 32% 36% LIB DEMS 31% 21% LABOUR 28% 33% Fieldwork was carried out yesterday evening and this morning, and confirms the continuing Lib Dem bounce, with Clegg’s party up 10 points, Labour down five, and the Conservatives down four at 32. Peter Riddell comments in The Times: “The Lib Dem rise has been particularly fuelled by younger voters since last Thursday’s party leaders’ debate, while there are indications that the debate may boost…
Did the move to the Lib Dems start much earlier? It is almost becoming a short-hand to describe this election. The two party fight became a three-sided contest at 10pm on Thursday April 15th when the first polling reaction to the first leaders’ debate had Nick Clegg winning by a mile. No doubt this is how the dramatic Election of 2010 will go down in political history – but is it actually true? Didn’t the move to the yellow team…
What will the next seventeen days bring? Our chart shows the dramatic movement in best betting prices on a Tory majority over the past extraordinary week – a period when the views of the election outcome from punters and pundits alike changed so dramatically. As someone suggested on an overnight thread – the Lib Dems have gone viral and we’ve no idea where this will end. Certainly the prospects for the Tory majority look a lot thinner this morning. For…
This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con Lab LD Oth Lead YouGov 17 Apr 33 30 29 8 Con 3 BPIX 17 Apr 31 28 32 9 LD 1 ComRes 17 Apr 31 27 29 13 Con 2 ICM…