Iain Dale’s end of year elections:- Pollster of the Year 1. YouGov 2. Angus Reid 3. ICM How could they support an untested firm? I’m sure that my friends at PB’s pollster, Angus Reid, won’t be too upset to learn that I did not vote for them as “pollster of the year” in Iain Dale’s annual elections. The Vancouver-based firm only started publishing UK voting intention surveys in October and clearly have yet to go through the process of having…
CON 40% (40) LAB 24% (23) LD 20%(19) OTHERS 15% (18) And others decline a bit too These are the figures just in from our latest survey where the fieldwork started on Wednesday and finished only this morning. Importantly this survey started two days after that for last weekend’s polls by ICM and MORI finished – so it is more up to date. We are, of course, still waiting for the latter to appear. Although Angus Reid has been showing…
York Outer – 0.44% (Lab 27%) Romsey & Southampton N: 0.46% (Lab 10.9%) Cheltenham: 0.66% (Lab 11.8%) Eastleigh: 1.12% (Lab 21.1%) Westmorland & Lonsdale: 1.7% (Lab 7.8%) Hereford & N Herefordshire: 2.4% (Lab 10.2%) Carshalton & Wallington: 2.93% (Lab 17.3%) Taunton Deane: 3.3% (Lab 12.1%) Chippenham: 4.7% (Lab 16.8%) Leeds NW: 5% (Lab 31.9%) Torbay: 6% (Lab 14.5%) Sutton & Cheam: 6.2% (Lab 11.8%) Camborne & Redruth: 7.1% (Lab 25.6%) Richmond Park: 7.1% (Lab 9.25%%) Cheadle: 7.4% (Lab 9.9%) Portsmouth…
Making more sense of the rise of the “others” We had an interesting additional voting intention question in the latest PB/Angus Reid poll which might help us further in trying to work out what will happen to the UKIP/BNP/GREEN vote as we get closer to the election. For a big issue, of course, is that there is not going to be a full slate of candidates in every seat and many of those electors currently telling pollsters that they’ll vote…
Angus Reid Strategies Should all pollsters get their data out on the same day? Here is the main set of cross-tabs with the regional and gender splits from this evening’s Politicalbetting/Angus Reid poll which is showing almost no change in the overall picture. Download the full set for yourself here. One of the things I was very keen on when we were setting up the arrangement with the pollster was that the full data-set should be made available as soon…
CON 40%(39) LAB 23%(22) LD 19%(21) OTHERS 18% (18) Has Labour been hurt by the PBR? In the first national voting intention poll to be published after Mr.Darling’s PBR statement both Labour and the Tories move up but the Lib Dem drop down. Fieldwork started on Tuesday and carried on until a few hours ago with just under a third of responses coming in after the Chancellor’s statement. So of the last four national voting intention polls to come out…
The response to the PB polling question The week before last there was a thread in which site users were asked to suggest ideas that can be included in the regular polls that Angus Reid strategies carries out in the UK. There were dozens of different ideas and the following is the one that was chosen with the outcomes:- How will you chose which party to vote for? 29% – I will chose the party that will make me and…
Angus Reid Strategies Will the public support tough action? Last week in response to the thread asking for suggestions for possible polling questions several PBers put forward the idea of finding out what the public believed about what for many is the key issue of the age – the extent to which humanity is responsible for climate change. This is central to all policy development because if human behaviour is to blame then maybe something can be done about it….