The Ipsos-Mori Voting Intention and Leadership ratings are out. On the voting intention it is Conservatives 32 (+1) Labour 42 (-2) Lib Dems 11 (-1) Despite their lead being reduced, Labour will be delighted with a ten point lead with a phone pollster. On the leadership ratings. David Cameron has seen an improvement from a net rating of  minus 27 in July to a net rating of minus 16 this month. Ed Miliband has also seen an improvement, in July…
Is the struggle to retain the 20 seat boundary bonus doomed? It’s being reported by the Telegraph’s Ben Brogan that Cameron is working on a plan to offer the LDs a deal on state funding party funding as a new quid pro quo for getting the boundary changes through. Brogan writes: “…over the next year or so Mr Clegg will find a way to back the boundary review when it comes up for a vote in the Commons. In exchange,…
Would Dave sack his mate to remain PM? If the Olympics were not on then the story that would be dominating the headlines would be Cameron’s decision to put party unity ahead of the coalition on Lords reform. It’s been widely reported that Dave is going to abandon the plan following the rebellion by Tory back-benchers last month. The question now is what next? How will Nick Clegg and the Lib Dems respond? There’ve been suggestions that Dave will try…
The Independent is reporting that A government-wide spending review is to be scaled back because Nick Clegg is refusing to commit to billions of pounds of further cuts in the welfare budget…whilst  the Liberal Democrats are likely to fight the election on a pledge to clear the remaining deficit through tax rises such as a mansion tax on homes worth more than £2m and a cut in the 40 per cent tax relief on pension contributions enjoyed by higher rate taxpayers….
Does today’s news put Dave’s future in doubt? Today’s dramatic announcement from the Crown Prosecution Service isn’t good news for David Cameron and must raise the prospect of him not making it through as leader to the general election set for May 2015. There is a growing anti-Cameron faction within the parliamentary party and there must be a possibility that this could add to it. This combined with the growing chorus for Vince Cable with the Lib Dems opens up…
But what if Dave or Nick were to step aside? David Laws, the Lib Dem cabinet minister who had to resign after serving less than a month, has an interesting piece in the Telegraph in which he predicts that the coalition will continue through to a 2015 general election. He concludes:- “..Many predicted there would be a rhythm to this Parliament – unity in the beginning, differentiation in the middle, and divergence at the end. Over the past six months,…
Does he do better when he’s out of the country? Cameron’s YouGov approval ratings move to best since March.. Now down to minus 18%. In May was -31%. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2012 Miliband’s YouGov approval ratings drop 2 to -27%. Last week he was = to Dave — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2012 Clegg’s YouGov approval ratings improve by 2 to minus 53% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 24, 2012 YouGov – Tories take 7% lead…
When will Nick Clegg cease to be leader of the Lib Dems? Before May 31st 2013 June 2013 – May 2014 June 2014 – May 2015 June 2015 – May, 2016 June 2016 or after Take part in the PB Wisdom Survey On the face of it the party leader whose position is most precarious is Nick Clegg whose party has seen a dramatic decline since the heady days of the 2010 general election. The Lib Dem polling…