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Category: Leader approval ratings

What’ll this do to the final week of the campaign?

What’ll this do to the final week of the campaign?

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Could opinion harden against a hung parliament? Both the Guardian and Telegraph lead on a civil service plan that would have Mr. Brown remaining at Number 10 in the case of a hung parliament. As the Guardian puts it: “Under the proposals, which have been drawn up to prevent a constitutional crisis and a run on the pound, parliament may not reconvene for nearly three weeks to allow the prime minister to form a working government with the minority parties….

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Dissatisfaction with Brown back in the 60s

Dissatisfaction with Brown back in the 60s

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Are you satisfied/dissatisfied with Brown/Cameron/Clegg ..” Satisfied Dissatisfied +/- BROWN 34% (36) 60% (57) -5 CAMERON 42% (44) 42% (40) -4 CLEGG 45% (44) 25% (27) +8 Ipsos-MORI Mar 21 (Feb 22) And Cameron gets his worst ratings since 2008 I’ve now had advance sight of the Ipsos-MORI leader approval ratings for March – a form of questioning that has been asked in the same way by the firm for more than a third of a century. The numbers are…

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Blow for Brown as the approval gap widens

Blow for Brown as the approval gap widens

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Is Brown/Cameron/Clegg doing well-badly as PM/CON leader/LD leader ..” Well Badly +/- BROWN 33% (36) 61% (60) -4 CAMERON 49% (48) 39% (44) +6 CLEGG 47% (43) 27% (31) +8 YouGov Sunday Times: FW Mar 19 (Mar 5) Are these a better pointer than voting intentions? There is a theory, supported by polling for the 1992 general election, that leader approval ratings are a better indicator of electoral outcomes than the standard voting intention findings. I sort of buy into…

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Cameron hit most as all the leader ratings drop

Cameron hit most as all the leader ratings drop

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“Is Brown/Cameron/Clegg doing well-badly as PM/CON leader/LD leader ..” “Well” “Badly“ +/- Brown 36% (36) 60% (58) -2% Cameron 48% (50) 44% (39) -7% Clegg 43% (42) 31% (28) -2% Are the Tories right to make Brown the issue? This is the second of my planned weekly threads on what many pundits believe are the best guide to forecasting general elections – the leader approval ratings. The comparisons above are the net change as compared with last week. These are…

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Do the debates mean these numbers are more important?

Do the debates mean these numbers are more important?

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Q. “Is Brown/Cameron/Clegg doing well-badly as PM/CON leader/LD leader ……” 36-58% WELL:BADLY – BROWN 50-39% WELL:BADLY – CAMERON 42-28% WELL:BADLY – CLEGG Is this one of the consequences of the focus on the leaders? One of the strange features of British politics generally and this election build-up in particular is that almost nobody ever mentions the leader approval ratings. Unlike many other countries they are seen as not being irrelevant, the number of polls asking regular questions is declining and…

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