Punters remaining solidly behind Corbyn
Recent revelations have had almost zero impact
As Corbyn is finding the more he looks like winning the more detailed scrutiny he’ll come under
This could be troublesome for Mr. Corbyn http://t.co/dArU3lDFON pic.twitter.com/V4WFxhpDG7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 19, 2015 Tonight’s developments are going to be hard to deal with A key part of the report:- “…Mr Cobryn was confronted about his links to Dyab Abou Jahjah, an alleged former fighter for Hezbollah with whom he shared a platform, on BBC Radio Four’s World at One. “Sorry, who? I saw the name this morning and I asked somebody: ‘who is he?’,†Mr Corbyn replied. Pushed…
Boost for Yvette Cooper in the battle for second place – the New Statesman gives her its endorsement
This could help her in the spat with Burnham The influential left-wing magazine, the New Statesman has announced that it is endorsing Yvette Cooper for Labour leader. Given how far Mr. Corbyn is ahead this is probably only significant in her fight with Andy Burnham for the runner-up slot which could be important if Corbyn fails to stay the course. In an editorial in tomorrow’s edition the magazine states:- “…Labour remains traumatised by an election defeat that it never saw…
Is Corbyn inevitable, unelectable and what happens next for Labour? The latest PB/Polling Matters podcast
In this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcasts, Keiran discusses the Labour leadership with Stephen Bush of the New Statesman and Laurence Janta-Lipinski of YouGov. We ask whether Jeremy Corbyn is inevitable, where Labour goes from here and whether Corbyn could surprise people if he wins. Also, can a non-left Labour candidate win the leadership again and what does the next Labour PM look like..
The Corbyn price on Betfair edges out a touch following Radio 4 interview with YouGov boss
Peter Kellner on #wato: A week ago, Corbyn was comfortably ahead. Now, I don’t know — Sebastian Payne (@SebastianEPayne) August 18, 2015 We don’t know whether what Kellner said is based on data There’s been an easing of the Corbyn price on the Betfair exchange after the above comment by YouGov president, Peter Kellner, in an interview. At one stage this morning he was at 1.35 on Betfair. That is now 1.43. Kellner clearly sees a lot more polling and…
Corbyn’s impending victory affects the Mayoral betting
Take on the mystery Betfair punter Mike ran a thread the other day looking for markets that might be affected by Jeremy Corbyn’s likely victory in the Labour leadership stakes. He highlighted NO in the EU betting where I’d agree odds of nearly 4/1 are tempting. However to my mind there are even better bets available in the London Mayoral voting – which will still be value even if Corbyn falls just short. Labour’s candidate is being decided on the same…
How do you solve a problem like Jeremy?
If Labour MPs want to remove Corbyn, they need to stop Corbyn having a honeymoon or polling bounce. If as expected Jeremy Corbyn becomes leader, then those inside the Labour party looking to depose Corbyn as leader before the  next general election might want to have a word with the Barrow & Furness MP, John Woodcock, who also is Liz Kendall’s campaign manager and remind him of his pre-election pledge. My pledge: am so confident Labour will build four Trident successor…
If there is a Corbyn victory then it might make referendum NO bets look quite tempting
I’ve been trying to look at other political betting markets which might be affected if Corbyn does, as the YouGov numbers suggest, take the crown in the LAB leadership contest. A key one over an election that might well be taking place in the next twelve months, is the referendum on whether the UK should remain within the EU. Corbyn’s position is equivocal as seen in this recent report. It is not inconceivable that he could be on the leave…