I’ve been trying to look at other political betting markets which might be affected if Corbyn does, as the YouGov numbers suggest, take the crown in the LAB leadership contest.
A key one over an election that might well be taking place in the next twelve months, is the referendum on whether the UK should remain within the EU.
Corbyn’s position is equivocal as seen in this recent report. It is not inconceivable that he could be on the leave side of the argument. Given his apparent popularity as seen in today’s union sponsored Survation poll then that might have an impact.
The polling has shown consistent leads for staying in but they haven’t been that large.