YouGov May 1 2008 But was it based on a different weighting structure? Nobody can dispute that Boris Johnson’s election as London mayor on May 2nd 2008 was a sensational achievement for YouGov. For the second mayoral election in a row they got the final result correct to within one percent at a time when they were completely out of line with all the other pollsters. I, for one, made a fair bit of money betting on the YouGov view…
YouGov Daily poll Mar 17 Mar 16 CONSERVATIVES 36% 37% LABOUR 32% 32% LIB DEMS 20% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3% 3.5% This has not come from my usual source but I am told that it is what is being reported in the print edition of tomorrow’s Sun. So, once again, a very different view of the world from the two online pollsters who both operate with polling panels. We have discussed at length before the possible…
Seat spreads CON LAB LD SportingIndex 332-337 (+2) 223-228 (-2) 57-60 (+2) Extrabet 328-333 (-2) 230-235 (+2) 57-60 (nc) Betfair 333-336 227-231 53.5-56.5
Will “change” be the big issue? Which of these two opposing thoughts do you think you would be most likely to agree with? CON voters LAB Voters LD Voters TOTAL Continuity in important, stick with Labour 2% 78% 25% 27% Time for change 98% 25% 74% 68% This is from the latest ICM poll – see data here. The PB survey We’ve already had a great response to the survey which is being carried out by Woodnorton Associates. If you…
YouGov Daily poll Mar 15 Mar 12 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 32% 33% LIB DEMS 21% 17% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3.5% 3% Is this down to the conference coverage? So the third of tonight’s polls also has the Tory lead increasing – but this is down to Labour moving down a notch while the blue share stays the same. The big news is the Lib Dem bounce which, almost certainly, is down to the extensive coverage of…
ICM ICM Guardian Mar 14 Mar 11 CONSERVATIVES 40% 38% LABOUR 31% 31% LIB DEMS 20% 21% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 5% Tories back in the 40s in new ICM poll? Tonight’s ICM poll for the Guardian is just out and has welcome news for the Tories after the set-back for them in the ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph over the weekend. All this moves away from hung parliament territory and could have an impact on…
YOUGOV YouGov daily poll (Sunday Times) Mar 12 Mar 11 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 33% 34% LIB DEMS 17% 17% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3.5% 3% But it’s all margin of error changes Sky News is reporting the figures for Labour and the Tories from the latest YouGov daily poll for the Sunday Times. As can be seen the only change is that Labour are down a point – all margin of error stuff just like ICM. We…
YouGov Angus Reid When you get two polls, apparently so far apart as YouGov and Angus Reid, it’s very hard to come up with an explanation except by digging deep into the the data. Fortunately we got all the Angus Reid data from the latest poll within hours of its publication. The weighting data is here while the details cross-tabs are here. The YouGov information should be available this morning but for comparison purposes I’ve used the weighting statement form…