|YouGov Daily poll||Mar 15||Mar 12|
|LAB to CON swing from 2005||3.5%||3%|
Is this down to the conference coverage?
So the third of tonight’s polls also has the Tory lead increasing – but this is down to Labour moving down a notch while the blue share stays the same.
The big news is the Lib Dem bounce which, almost certainly, is down to the extensive coverage of the Lib Dems’ Birmingham gathering at the weekend. YouGov have it up by four yet ICM earlier had Clegg’s party down a point. Odd – especially as ICM is usually the best pollster for the Lib Dems and YouGov the worst.
The Labour share, although down, remains the highest from any polling firm but is now only one point off the ICM figure.
So a good night for the Tories and some positive news for the Lib Dems.
Let’s see what tomorrow brings.