Is there anything the 72 year old can do to get back into the race? All eyes in the American presidential election will be on Nashville tonight where John McCain and Barack Obama take part in the second presidential debate. After this there will only be one event left. After the first encounter between the two senators most pundits scored it at about even. That, however, was not the verdict of the public and in the voting intention polls that…
This is an original cartoon by Marf for LondonSketchBook.com Can Darling-Brown do anything to restore stability? With a package expected to be announced this evening the big question is whether it will be enough and will bring stability to the financial system. Clearly this has been the most dramatic day so far in the crisis with huge drops in the value of bank shares and hundreds of thousands of UK savers facing big worries after the Icelandic bank, Icesave stopped…
This is an original cartoon by Marf for LondonSketchBook.com
Is the new Cabinet “a supergroup or a sad tribute act”? Peter Mandelson’s return to Cabinet for a third time has given the Sunday papers plenty to consider. The man himself gives an interview to the Observer in which he states that he is “joined at the hip to the PM”, who will lead the party into the next election. The paper says that Miliband’s leadership ambitions are now dead in the water as the Blairites rally round during the…
UPDATED ICM marginals poll suggests a big Tory majority After the euphoria in the Labour camp following recent poll improvements an ICM survey of 192 Labour-held marginals for the News of the World will bring them back down to earth. For it suggests that the party is set to lose 164 seats to the Tories at the general election. and that Cameron’s Conservatives will have a majority of 78. That is on top of any seat losses-gains in the battles…
But should we listen to Professor King? The post conference YouGov poll in the Daily Telegraph is out putting the Tories up four points to 45% in a survey that that Anthony King says shows that the voters “.. are not yet persuaded by the Tories”. Eh? A share of 45% is, of course, bigger than what Tony Blair’s Labour got in the landslide of 1997 – maybe King did not have that result to hand? He is of course…
Could this now help McCain? Throughout the day all eyes will have been on this Washington building where an hour or so ago the House of Representatives voted to approve the $700bn bail-out plan. This will certainly bring confidence back to the markets which had already discounted the fact that it was going to go through. But what of the political impact? Will it take the focus off economic matters and if so how is it going to affect opinion…
But this is a conference season poll. A new ICM poll for the Guardian is just out and shows a three point increase in the Tory lead. Given that the fieldwork was taken this week that is hardly surprising. I will be interested to look at the detailed data to see what the gap was before the pollster applied its spiral of silence adjustment. This is where it makes an assumption of how those who won’t would vote based on…