Is 12/1 against him not lasting the year a good bet? With only the details of the General Election to be tidied up the next political betting market to open is on Tony Blair’s future. In which year will he step down? William Hill are offering: 2005 12/1: 2006 9/4: 2007 5/4: 2008 3/1: 2009 8/1: 2010 or later 20/1 We think that the 2005 price looks like a great value bet at 12/1. If there is going to be…
With almost all of the results for Grerat Britian now in we can start drawing some conclusions. From a site perspective a big winner appears to have been the BALANCE of MONEY predictions which will probably end up being closer to the actual seats results than other predictors. They were certainly a much better way or working out what seats from a given vote share would produce. We were also pleased that the concept of”tactical unwind” happened and that the…
From what we have seen so far it appears that just about all the bets we have tipped will end up as winners. We said bet on turnout at 60% or more – that is going to happen We said sell Labour vote share at the equivalent of 38.6% of the GB vote – that looks very good We said buy Lib Dem vote share at 20.5% – there should be a nice profit on that We said buy the…
Labour are now down to 365-369 seats on both IG and Sporting Index. The party is down three seats with IG on the day and two seat with SI. The projected overall Labour majority, based on what gamblers are doing, is now 88 seats. There’s been a move of two seats during the day to the Lib Dems who now stand at 66-69 on both of the major spread markets. Click for BinaryBet to see the range of interesting markets…
What pointers will we get from Labour’s expected victory here Given the amazing performance of Sunderland South last time in being first to declare ‘s hard to see any other seat getting a look in. For the declaration of Chris Mullin’s victory from Wearside came at just 10-43 pm – three minutes faster than what was achieved in 1997. The time margin over the runner-up was so great that if it had been a horse race or an athletics event…
I’ve just bought the Lib Dems at 68 seats after getting some bullish reports from people I regard. I’ve not done what I would term a big bet but not a small bet either. It looks like a goodish punt at this price. Mike Smithson
Labour spread price starts to slip For the first time since Tony Blair announced the election a month ago the Labour price on the spread markets has started to slip. The mid-afternoon fix from IG saw a two seat drop which means a four seat reduction in the projected majority. This is not a major drop but it is significant and is the product of Labour backers not being as confident as they were this morning. There’s also been more…
It doesn’t look as though there’ll be removal vans here tomorrow afternoon With trading on the spread-betting markets due to continue right through the night until a final result is known the latest Balance of Money prediction shows that the markets think that Labour will be returned with a majority of 92 seats. But the interesting question could be the size of Labour’s share of the popular vote because if it is at the final poll levels then Tony Blair…