Election Night 2010 – the 12.30 thread
Next thread will appear at 1.30 Double Carpet www.electiongame.co.uk
Election Night 2010 – the 11.30 thread
Next thread will appear at 12.30 Double Carpet www.electiongame.co.uk
Election Night 2010 – the 10.30 thread
REVISED EXIT POLL: CON 305 LAB 255 LD 61 OTH 29 Next thread will appear at 11.30 Double Carpet www.electiongame.co.uk
Yellows only down a point in YouGov London
YouGov London – E. Standard May 5 2005 CONSERVATIVES 36% 32% LABOUR 31% 39% LIB DEMS 27% 22% After last night’s daily poll for the Sun that had Clegg’s party shedding four points to its lowest position for weeks a new YouGov poll for London has them down just one point on last week’s poll – at 27% percent. The Tory and Labour shares are unchanged on the week. As I’ve argued the success or not of the Lib Dems…
My penultimate “tip of the day”
Guardian But could this change with the final polls? Almost every day for the past four weeks I’ve been producing a “tip of the day” for Guardian. Looking back some have been winners already – the TV audience for the first debate and which of the three would get the highest numbers. Some look like losers now but seemed a good idea at the time. One which I think will turn out to be profitable is the turnout being above…
How’s your region changed since 05/05/05?
YouGov regional aggregates with changes on last time YG Regional Aggregates Con Lab LD NAT North East 22 (+2) 44 (-9) 29 (+6) – North West 30 (+1) 34 (-11) 28 (+7) – Yorks & Humber 32 (+3) 30 (-14) 30 (+9) – East Midlands 34 (-3) 29 (-10) 29 (+11) – West Midlands 38 (+3) 30 (-9) 23 (+4) – East of England 44 (+1) 21 (-9) 27 (+5) – London 36 (+4) 31 (-8) 26 (+4) – South…
… and tonight’s ComRes
No change from ComRes, but 38% may change mind before voting ComRes: ITV News/Independent May 3 May 2 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 29% 29% LIB DEMS 26% 26%  The press release from ITV News/The Independent says: “This poll gives the Conservatives 294 seats – 32 short of an overall majority – Labour 251 seats and Liberal Democrats 74. These voting intention figures are identical to figures from ComRes yesterday – the first time during the election campaign that figures…
Tonight’s YouGov numbers
YouGov – the Sun May 4 May 3 CONSERVATIVES 35% 35% LABOUR 30% 28% LIB DEMS 24% 28% Anthony Wells says: “Just when it was looking as though the position had settled down, we suddenly have a shift in support. It could be the “Cleggmania†bubble bursting, or people pulling away from a hung Parliament after the heavy Conservative campaigning against it, or Liberal Democrat supporters heeding the call of Labour figures to vote tactically for Labour…. or, it could…