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Category: General Election

ComRes: Lib Dems up 3 to 15: Labour lead down to 3: More poor leadership numbers for EdM

ComRes: Lib Dems up 3 to 15: Labour lead down to 3: More poor leadership numbers for EdM

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Has Miliband’s “Budget bonus” finally subsided? There’s a new telephone poll from ComRes for the Independent which has the Lib Dems moving up 3 to 15% at the expense of Labour which sees the smallest gap over the Tories since Osborne’s much-criticised March budget. On leader ratings there’s other bad news for Labour. Asked whether Mr Miliband has what it takes to be a good prime minister, 22% agree and 63% disagree. For Dave the figures are 39% and 52%…

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Who’ll go down least well with voters – EdM or George?

Who’ll go down least well with voters – EdM or George?

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Tweet Is that what the election could come down to? Some elections are won; most are lost. Rarely do the electorate have the luxury of two parties, both of which look like they could offer a strong, competent team which could govern well and lead the country forward in the way it would like. Sometimes they don’t have any and it’s a matter of choosing the least-worst option or opting out altogether. It’s not inconceivable that 2015 may be a…

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The Michael Ashcroft polling that should cheer the Lib Dems up

The Michael Ashcroft polling that should cheer the Lib Dems up

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ConHome Sept 26 2011 Although it’s a year old the findings are still valid This post has been put up following a promise I made at the Times/Populus Lib Dem conference fringe meeting yesterday. It relates to Michael Ashcroft polling from September 2011 which was carried out in Tory seats that were vulnerable to Labour and the Lib Dems. There’s has been nothing like it before or since and I’d contend that the general thrust is still valid. The Lib…

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The biggest polling weekend since general election sees outcomes ranging from a CON 4 pt lead to LAB 12 pts ahead

The biggest polling weekend since general election sees outcomes ranging from a CON 4 pt lead to LAB 12 pts ahead

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YouGov finds that the Tories would have a 4% lead if Boris was leader &Vince led the LDs.CON 39%/LAB 35%/LD 11% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2012 If Boris led Tories &Clegg and Miliband still in place YouGov find it would be CON 38%/LAB 38%/LD 9% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2012 If Boris led Tories &Clegg and Miliband still in place YouGov find it would be CON 38%/LAB 38%/LD 9% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 23, 2012…

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Poll blows for Nick Clegg as the party faithful gather in Brighton

Poll blows for Nick Clegg as the party faithful gather in Brighton

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Daily Mirror Just 25% of LDs think they’ll do better keeping him A new Survation poll for today’s Daily Mirror, taken partly after Clegg “Sorry” video shows no change for the party, The only movement on the firm’s last poll in the Mail on Sunday a month ago has been a three point increase in the LAB vote at the expense of others. These are the figures: CON 30(nc):LAB 40(+3):LD 10(nc): UKIP 12(nc) The firm almost always reports the biggest…

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Have any of the parties pitched their tent in the right field?

Have any of the parties pitched their tent in the right field?

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Henry G Manson on core vote versus anti-core vote There’s a good article from David Clark, Robin Cook’s former adviser at the website Shifting Grounds. It really caught my eye this week. It sums up the perennial challenge facing political parties – where to pitch your electoral tent. It’s worth reading in full: Clark points out that political parties seeking power can’t simply afford a core vote approach. So far so obvious. But he insists neither can it afford an…

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Clegg’s Ipsos-MORI leadership ratings plummet to a new low

Clegg’s Ipsos-MORI leadership ratings plummet to a new low

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Ipsos-MORI And more polling numbers for EdM to worry about We’ve now got the full details of the September political monitor from Ipsos-MORI. The voting intention numbers are CON 30%(-2): LAB 41%(-1): LDEM 13%(+2). The big interest is on the leadership ratings, as seen in the graphic above, and the continued decline for Nick Clegg. Not only are these the worst ratings on record for the Deputy Prime Minister just 43% of existing party supporters told the firm that they…

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