politicalbetting.com

Embed from Getty Images   Alastair Meeks looks to follow up on his Dutch success There are few more baffling markets at present than the market on the next French president.  It’s a very active market  with more than £8 million traded so far, so its oddities can’t be put down to there being few punters.  Yet the odds seem very hard to square with the polling. The electoral system is designed to produce a centrist.  The voting takes place…

Read More Read More

The centrist looks close to home and hosed right now France is no stranger to revolutions. It’s therefore hardly surprising that there’s a ready temptation – particularly after the Brexit vote in the UK and Trump’s election in the US – to seek both contemporary and historic parallels in the possibility of a Le Pen victory in May. Indeed, it’s so tempting that the odds have come quite out of line with the real chances. There are only two simple…

Read More Read More

It’s been a big night in the French Presidential election with the first major TV debate between the top five candidates. Ahead of the event the assumption had been that the contender most at risk was the young centrist independent and odds-on betting favourite, Emmanuel Macron. The event went on for a staggering three and a half hours. An Elabe poll afterwards asked viewers who they though was the most convincing. According to Reuters the split was Macron 29%, the…

Read More Read More

With five weeks to go Macron remains strong odds-on favourite Exactly 5 weeks on from today, on April 23rd, voters in France will participate in the round one of the presidential election and betting interest has been enormous. Currently on the Betfair exchange alone £7.5m of wagers have been matched and looks set to be bettered in size terms only by BREXIT and Trump. Given that the French don’t allow punters to access British online bookmakers while in France then…

Read More Read More

It has been an extraordinary 24 hours on the betting markets for the French presidency. Everything was hinged on a planned statement that the Republican nominee and one time odds-on favourite, Fillon, had announced he was going to make yesterday evening. His campaign has been troubled for weeks by the investigation into payments of public money made to his British wife in what has become known as Penelopegate. It had been thought that with the police investigation getting tighter that…

Read More Read More