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Category: EU Referendum

The Ipsos Mori issues index for June

The Ipsos Mori issues index for June

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  The big risers are Immigration/Immigrants and EU/Europe, which seems understandable given the focus on the EU referendum since the election. The big faller is the economy, which maybe confirmation of the fifteen year high in consumer confidence that the pollster GfK found yesterday. For me the most interesting aspect of this polling is the below chart. There’s a real difference between the ages, so the older groups are more concerned by the EU than younger ones, this as has…

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Schrödinger’s referendum as Boris wants voters to vote both Yes and No to leaving the EU

Schrödinger’s referendum as Boris wants voters to vote both Yes and No to leaving the EU

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Today’s Sunday Times is reporting (££) BORIS JOHNSON is preparing to call for a no vote in Britain’s referendum on the European Union in an attempt to extract greater concessions from Brussels than David Cameron is demanding. In a stance that puts him on a collision course with the prime minister, the mayor of London believes Britain should reject any deal Cameron puts forward because the EU will not give enough ground. Johnson has told friends that a no vote…

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Dave’s European Challenge has become very big and very real

Dave’s European Challenge has become very big and very real

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Cameron could win the vote and still lose his job Selling the deal to the country was always going to be the easy bit. The tough ask for David Cameron is selling it to his party. The outcome of this week’s summit is, in that sense, one step forwards and two steps back. Simply getting the issue formally into the EU’s ongoing agenda was an achievement but one that is heavily diluted by the acceptance that there’ll be no treaty…

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Betting on the date of the EU referendum

Betting on the date of the EU referendum

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Over the weekend, stories emerged, which were downplayed by Number 10, that the EU referendum  was set for October 2016.  Then the Telegraph’s Chief Political Correspondent tweeted this afternoon. David Cameron could secure EU deal in time for October’s Tory party conference, Number 10 has indicated today. By me: http://t.co/519i3mJ491 — Christopher Hope (@christopherhope) June 22, 2015 It looks like July to October 2016 would be the optimal time to hold the referendum from Cameron’s point of view and William Hill’s 3/1…

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Ipsos Mori finds support at a 24 year high for remaining in the EU

Ipsos Mori finds support at a 24 year high for remaining in the EU

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75% would vote to remain to stay in the EU whilst 25% would vote to leave One of the reasons I like the Ipsos Mori polling on the EU, is that they’ve been polling on the topic for nearly forty years, they have another poll out today for the the Evening Standard. If the historic in-out referendum were to be staged now, 66 per cent say they would vote to remain members and 22  per cent would vote to quit. Excluding…

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How Grexit could change British politics

How Grexit could change British politics

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Front Page of the Telegraph, looks like a Greek Tragedy for the Euro, will it lead to Acropolis Now? pic.twitter.com/sZnAD129v5 — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 15, 2015 How economic problems in Greece could mean a tragedy for some in British politics. To we non economists, Greece and the Euro seems to be the most doomed relationship in that part of the world since Helen eloped with Paris, there is increased talk of a Grexit in recent days, so how will a…

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The OUT side needs someone other than Farage fronting the campaign

The OUT side needs someone other than Farage fronting the campaign

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Poll by @Survation More people trust Cam than distrust him on the EU, opposite true for Farage http://t.co/UchpFVSgFI pic.twitter.com/y9PlT0y9cQ — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 5, 2015 Nigel Farage might be a hindrance to the OUT side Looking at the above findings from Survation on behalf of British Future, if the EU referendum is a head to head between David Cameron and Nigel Farage, it is advantage to Cameron and the In side (assuming Cameron campaigns for the UK to remain in…

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Apathy and the older voters might be the key for Out winning the referendum

Apathy and the older voters might be the key for Out winning the referendum

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Not many people seem to view the EU as an issue – For Out it maybe that a low turnout referendum/differential turnout is the route to winning. Looking at this month’s Ipsos Mori issues index above, as usual, the  EU isn’t in the top 10 issues, whilst I sympathise, with those that say that Immigration is a proxy for the  EU, when we look at the specific EU tracker below, by Ipsos Mori, the EU isn’t a priority as it…

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