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Category: EU Referendum

Rose might front Remain but he won’t lead it

Rose might front Remain but he won’t lead it

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Tory Peer & former M&S boss Lord Rose to lead the campaign to keep the UK in the EU. http://t.co/GSlsdgM8fC pic.twitter.com/4SNafUiYVl — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 10, 2015 Amateurs playing at politics will get swept aside by the professionals Politicians are not popular; not now and rarely ever. The bickering, the pettiness, the game-playing, the dirt thrown – much of which sticks to some extent, including to the hands throwing it – the actual policies proposed or implemented, the negative characteristics…

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ComRes/Mail EU referendum poll finds CON voters more inclined to vote to stay than the electorate as a whole

ComRes/Mail EU referendum poll finds CON voters more inclined to vote to stay than the electorate as a whole

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With the coming EU referendum dominating much of the discussion at the CON conference in Manchester ComRes has new poll for the Mail out showing some quite remarkable findings. As can be seen from the chart CON voters are more inclined to say they want to stay in the EU than the electorate as a whole. This is the first time I can recall such a split and we need further surveys to support it before drawing too many conclusions….

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REVEALED: The T-shirt and slogan for the UKIP leave EU campaign

REVEALED: The T-shirt and slogan for the UKIP leave EU campaign

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Methinks that NIGEL SAYS NO is not a good slogan for the LEAVE EU campaignPic via @faisalislam pic.twitter.com/EVsbN5JI3k — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 26, 2015 I think that this is just too personal and appears egotistical. A mistake from the purples. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB Tweet

How Mr Corbyn could end Cameron’s Premiership

How Mr Corbyn could end Cameron’s Premiership

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The front page of this morning’s Guardian about Labour & The EU. Story here. http://t.co/sAgLU56koi pic.twitter.com/qHDLAexzJK — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 16, 2015 One of the underlying assumptions in the EU referendum was Labour and the Trade Union movement would be campaigning vigorously for the United Kingdom to remain a member however with the election of Jeremy Corbyn as Labour Leader that assumption needs to be revised. This morning’s Guardian reports “The prospects of Labour opposing British membership of the European Union,…

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One year ago today we were given a reminder that opinion polls are a snapshot not a prediction

One year ago today we were given a reminder that opinion polls are a snapshot not a prediction

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Latest @Survation / Mail on Sunday poll on the EU and Syria. Has Out/Leave leading via @suttonnick pic.twitter.com/CCpC5LZSFs — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 5, 2015 A year ago today The Sunday Times published a YouGov poll that had Yes ahead in the Scottish Independence referendum campaign. In the history of Politicalbetting.com no other opinion poll has generated quite so much comment and reaction. It wasn’t only PBers who reacted to this poll, it led to the three Westminster Unionist parties offering The…

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Reports say the EU referendum could be held as early as next April

Reports say the EU referendum could be held as early as next April

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.@BBCAllegra hs learned govt considering holding EU ref as early as April 2016 to exploit weakness of Corbyn-led Labour Party #newsnight — Ian Katz (@iankatz1000) September 1, 2015 On the day Cameron accepted the electoral commission suggestion to change the wording of the EU referendum question, and UKIP turned the OUT movement into a modern day equivalent of the People’s Front for Judea versus the Judean People’s Front, this is probably the most interesting news of the day. It may…

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If there is a Corbyn victory then it might make referendum NO bets look quite tempting

If there is a Corbyn victory then it might make referendum NO bets look quite tempting

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I’ve been trying to look at other political betting markets which might be affected if Corbyn does, as the YouGov numbers suggest, take the crown in the LAB leadership contest. A key one over an election that might well be taking place in the next twelve months, is the referendum on whether the UK should remain within the EU. Corbyn’s position is equivocal as seen in this recent report. It is not inconceivable that he could be on the leave…

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How SNP supporters could sabotage the EU referendum

How SNP supporters could sabotage the EU referendum

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Panelbase polled Scots & Rest of UK (RUK) voters 66% of Scots would vote to REMAIN in the EU 51% of RUK voters would vote to LEAVE the EU — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 18, 2015 Could tactical Scottish Nationalist voters win it for OUT? Panelbase polled 1,002 voters in Scotland and 956 voters in the rest of the UK from June 26th to July 3rd and got the above results on the forthcoming EU referendum, so this isn’t an analysis of English and…

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