With the coming EU referendum dominating much of the discussion at the CON conference in Manchester ComRes has new poll for the Mail out showing some quite remarkable findings. As can be seen from the chart CON voters are more inclined to say they want to stay in the EU than the electorate as a whole.
This is the first time I can recall such a split and we need further surveys to support it before drawing too many conclusions.
ComRes also applied its new Voter Turnout Model to the results which takes in respondentsâ€™ likelihood to vote based on demographics factors such as age and social class. This suggests that if turnout patterns at the referendum were similar to those at the General Election, 35% would vote to leave, compared to 58% who would vote to stay.
ComRes also asked about the aspect of EU renegotiation Britons say is most important to them. Top of the list is restricting the benefits that EU migrants entering the UK can receive with 82% of those polled say this is important, including 55% who say â€œvery importantâ€. Around three in four Britons say limiting the number of people moving to the UK from the EU is important, as well as giving the UK the option to stay out of future EU treaties (78% both)