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Category: Ed Miliband

++++ComRes: CON39/LAB36/LD15++++

++++ComRes: CON39/LAB36/LD15++++

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Survey Date CON % LAB % LD % ComRes/Independent 01/10/10 39 36 15 ComRes/IOS-S Mirror 17/09/10 37 35 15 ComRes/Independent 05/09/10 38 34 18 ComRes/Mirror/GMTV 15/08/10 39 33 15 ComRes/Independent 08/08/10 39 33 16 ComRes/Independent 27/06/10 40 31 18 ComRes/Independent on Sunday 17/06/10 36 30 23 ComRes/Independent 31/05/10 37 33 21 ComRes/IOS-S Mirror 13/05/10 38 34 21 Blow for Labour in new phone poll There’s a new phone poll from ComRes out in the Independent where the fieldwork finished yesterday…

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Can Ed Miliband make inroads into these ICM figures?

Can Ed Miliband make inroads into these ICM figures?

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Best for Britain..? All voters% CON voters% LAB voters% LD voters% CON alone 19 50 4 9 LAB alone 26 2 68 8 CON-LD coalition 21 41 3 41 LAB-LD coalition 13 4 20 25 Don’t know 20 4 7 17 Are the LDs and Tories just getting used to each other? The above table is based on data from the latest Guardian/ICM for which the full dataset has now just been published. It strikes me that this is increasingly…

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The Tory lead moves up after EdM’s speech

The Tory lead moves up after EdM’s speech

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Poll Date CON LAB LD YouGov/Sun 29/09/10 41 39 12 YouGov/Sun 28/09/10 41 40 12 YouGov/Sun 27/09/10 39 40 12 YouGov/Sunday Times 24/09/10 39 38 15 YouGov/Sun 23/09/10 41 37 13 YouGov/Sun 22/09/10 43 36 14 YouGov/Sun 21/09/10 39 39 13 YouGov/Sun 20/09/10 42 38 11 YouGov/Sunday Times 17/09/10 41 39 13 YouGov/Sun 16/09/10 41 38 12 YouGov/Sun 15/09/10 42 39 12 YouGov/Sun 14/09/10 40 39 12 YouGov/Sun 13/09/10 41 38 12 YouGov/Sunday Times 10/09/10 42 38 14 YouGov/Sun 09/09/10…

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Is EdM going to be ruthless with more of the old guard?

Is EdM going to be ruthless with more of the old guard?

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Smarkets Shadow Chancellor Odds Potential Win Ed Balls 55.00% £10 wins £18 Yvette Cooper 42.00% £10 wins £23 Any other Labour MP 28.00% £10 wins £35 Andy Burnham 20.00% £10 wins £50 Alan Johnson 9.00% £10 wins £111 Liam Byrne 5.00% £10 wins £200 Smarkets Foreign Secretary Odds Potential Win Andy Burnham 30.00% £10 wins £33 Any other Labour member 26.67% £10 wins £37 Yvette Cooper 25.00% £10 wins £40 Hilary Benn 22.00% £10 wins £45 Ed Balls 20.00% £10…

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Take the 18/1 against Burnham becoming Shadow Chancellor

Take the 18/1 against Burnham becoming Shadow Chancellor

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Is that the value bet following EdM’s big speech? What struck me about the economic parts of Ed Miliband’s speech was what it said about the chances of Ed Balls getting the job of shadow chancellor. It really is hard to see EdM giving him the role giving the very different approach the two men have to the deficit. Also the two are said to have a “history” going back to the election that never was in the autumn of…

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Will UNITE think that Ed Miliband owes it something?

Will UNITE think that Ed Miliband owes it something?

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First preferences Abbott Balls Burnham DaveM EdM UNITE 11129 6995 7993 21778 47439 GMB 3213 2548 3119 9746 18128 UNISON 2910 2141 2343 6665 9652 Other 21 bodies 8686 9934 4449 20000 12366 Total affiliates 25938 21618 17904 58189 87585 Overall split 12.28% 10.23% 8.48% 27.55% 41.46% UNITE SPLIT 11.67% 7.34% 8.38% 22.84% 49.76% Should one union be so influential? As everybody knows it was the heavy voting for Ed Miliband in the “associates” third of Labour’s electoral college that…

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Should you take the 3-1 against DM standing aside?

Should you take the 3-1 against DM standing aside?

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How difficult would it be for him to serve? After the extraordinary victory for Ed Miliband on Saturday the focus is now on his elder brother, David, and the role, if any, he would have in the new shadow cabinet. This is how the Guardian’s Patrick Wintour is reporting it: “Ed Miliband’s efforts to offer a new generation of leadership for Labour were overshadowed today by an emotional and political tug of war over whether his vanquished and shattered brother…

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Will EdM take Labour back to Sept/Oct ’07 levels?

Will EdM take Labour back to Sept/Oct ’07 levels?

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Autumn 2007 polling Date CON LAB LD YouGov/Sunday Times 16/11/07 41 35 13 YouGov/Telegraph 24/10/07 41 38 11 YouGov/Sunday Times 06/10/07 41 38 11 YouGov/Channel 4 04/10/07 36 40 13 YouGov/Telegraph 28/09/07 32 43 15 YouGov/Channel 4 25/09/07 33 44 13 Will they be at 40+ when he makes his 1st speech? Last night the News International daily poll from YouGov had CON 39%: LAB 38%: LD 15% – so the red team was just one point adrift. The big…

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