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Category: Ed Miliband

The methods used by the big unions to get Ed Milliband elected in 2010 are why he has to stand up to UNITE now

The methods used by the big unions to get Ed Milliband elected in 2010 are why he has to stand up to UNITE now

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The row over the Falkirk selection could make or break him Mail packs, such as the one featured above from the GMB union to those of its members entitled to vote in Labour’s leadership election, played a pivotal role in EdM’s victory September 2010. They were developed for the GMB, UNISON and UNITE unions to get round a Labour party ban on candidates’ promotional materials being included in the voting packs for the election. Instead the ballot papers were nested…

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Labour and the economy

Labour and the economy

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Voters for the last few years have said the economy is the most important issue facing Britain. Last night we had a survation poll for Labourlist which shows That nearly half of all voters (46.8%) believe that Labour “cannot be trusted with the economy”. Less than one-third (30.1%) believe that Labour can be trusted with the nation’s finances. There is further evidence that Labour isn’t trusted with the economy, as there is polling that shows that a plurality blame Labour…

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Who would take over as Labour Leader if Ed fell short?

Who would take over as Labour Leader if Ed fell short?

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  I expect Labour to win most seats at the next general election and for Ed Miliband to be Prime Minister. The bookies make it the most likely event but not a certainty. They price it as a 1/2 shot that Labour will return the most MPs at the next election and 4/6 that Ed Miliband makes it to 10 Downing Street. This is not a universal view by any stretch of the imagination. So what happens if Labour falls…

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YouGov polling on how Ed Miliband compares to Gordon Brown

YouGov polling on how Ed Miliband compares to Gordon Brown

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New PB thread on Ed vs Gordon pollingwww7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch… twitter.com/TSEofPB/status… — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) May 30, 2013 There’s some polling by YouGov for The Times (££) which has attracted headlines such as “Voters trust Miliband less than Brown”, but analysing the figures the results aren’t as bad for Ed and Labour as it first appears The Brown figures are from May 2010, shortly after polling day, whilst Ed’s figures have just been carried out. Here are the results More voters thought that…

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Two years before an election, how much of a lead does the Opposition have.

Two years before an election, how much of a lead does the Opposition have.

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The one thing I’ve most read on British politics in recent months, is that Labour should be doing better, What the below graph shows is how much of a lead in voting intentions the opposition has two years before an election with Ipsos-Mori (note the figure for Margaret Thatcher is from March 1977, a little under 26 months before an election) As we can see, generally speaking most oppositions have a lead two years before an election, the exceptions being…

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Is Ed Miliband Cameron’s secret antidote to the UKIP surge?

Is Ed Miliband Cameron’s secret antidote to the UKIP surge?

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New PB thread, Is Ed Miliband Cameron’s secret antidote to the UKIP surgewww7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch… twitter.com/TSEofPB/status… — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) May 26, 2013 A little over a week ago, there was a report in The Times (££) talking about UKIP’s future fundraising plans. In a significant re-casting of its pitch to would-be supporters, the party is asking voters to “lend” their support for next year’s European elections but to give no further commitment. To achieve this, they will set up a special bank account, the…

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How Ed Miliband compares to his predecessors

How Ed Miliband compares to his predecessors

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Now that we’re just a little under two years from the General Election, I thought it might be useful to see how Dave and Ed compare to the predecessors as Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition, and used their net approval ratings with Ipsos-Mori In the first of this series, I’m starting with how Ed Miliband compares with his predecessors in terms of net ratings.   A couple of notes about the data. 1) The figure from Margaret Thatcher…

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No boundary changes and no AV: EdM is proving to be a lucky LAB leader

No boundary changes and no AV: EdM is proving to be a lucky LAB leader

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Henry G Manson on how the Tories have made GE2015 easier for Ed There is a bit of talk as to whether certain Conservative MP are able to be endorsed by UKIP and stand with two party emblems next to their name on the ballots paper. This is now possible under updated election law. This week Peter Bone MP took to the airwaves arguing for joint Conservative and UKIP candidates to take advantage of this: “There was a tremendous Conservative…

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