Has the race reached a tipping point? As the chart shows there was a time at during November and December 2007 when the McCain betting price for President reached 40/1 and congratulations to those on the site who were highlighting this at the time and got bets on at what now seem sensational prices. Alas I was not one of them. I took the view that the 72 year old Vietnam veteran was just too old and didn’t give him…
How will he compare to Obama and Palin in his acceptance speech? John McCain has many qualities, but being a big-venue orator is not first amongst them. Having seen Obama put on a remarkable show last Thursday in Denver, John McCain saw his VP pick, Governor Palin, deliver a superb address last night. She managed to enthuse the Convention Center to an extent not seen previously this week, and has received glowing reviews in the midst of a hostile media…
Should you be getting your money on? There was a marked move to John McCain in the next President betting as his running mate pick, Sarah Palin delivered her acceptance speech at the Republican convention. 0000(BST) Betfair price reflects a 33.5% implied probability of a McCain-Palin victory 0300 just before the start of her speech it rises to 35%. 0330 while she is speaking the price moves to a 36.5% probability 0500 the price has eased up to a 35.8%…
How will the big VP acceptance speech be received? Sarah Palin will tonight accept her party’s nomination for the Vice-Presidency of the United States. The big headline speakers leading up to her keynote address will be three of the men whom John McCain beat in the primaries: Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, and Rudy Giuliani. Also speaking are three of the women whom we suggested might be his selection for VP: Meg Whitman (CEO, Ebay), Carly Fiorina (CEO, HP) and Hawaii…
Should they be holding-off an all-out attack on Palin? Since Sarah Palin was announced as John McCain’s choice as VP, she has come under more intense scrutiny than any of the other three major candidates on the ticket. Her daughter’s pregnancy, her views on abortion and sex education and creationism, her apparent membership of the Alaskan Independence Party, and the continuation of Troopergate. Now her judgement over the ‘Bridge to Nowhere’ and the influence of her pastor are being thrown…
Is the election now about his VEEP – not Obama? The chart shows the changing prices on John McCain on the £4m Betfair next president market over the past week covering the time leading upto the Palin announcement and afterwards. As can be seen the early reaction has was very strong with punters seeing the Alaska governor as a big plus. Since then sentiment has been moving away as the focus has been on how McCain made his decision. On…
How will this impact – could Palin be forced off the ticket like Eagleton in ’72? Live prices for the GOP VP candidate are here. Populus Poll: Con 43 (n/c) Lab 27 (n/c) Lib Dem 18 (n/c) Double Carpet
I’m at Denver International Ariport, and have just met up with an Executive Producer of a large corporate news channel. In the course of our conversation, he intimated (and said I could publish on condition of anonymity) that there is a reasonably strong chance that the Republican National Convention due to begin in Minneapolis-St-Paul, MN, next week might be postponed. Apparently, some members of the McCain campaign and the RNC are concerned that, after the criticism over Hurrican Katrina and…