Ladbrokes now make Jeremy Hunt the 4/5 odds on favourite to be next cabinet exit. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 28, 2012 Could there be surprises in the Sunday papers? So far, at least, the Cameron tactic of say they must wait for Leveson. not expected for some weeks, has managed to hold in the Jeremy Hunt affair. The problem Dave’s got is that Leveson won’t be ruling on the affair – that’s for the PM. There’s also the…
@nicholaswatt @dansabbagh @paulwaugh This is a nice email from #Leveson evidence twitter.com/JetBlackPope/s… — Dan (@JetBlackPope) April 24, 2012 What’ll be the fall-out from today’s revelations? We’ve been in London all day for my wife, Jacky’s, graduation (she’s got an MSc from Birkbeck) and it was only on the train home that I first saw what could be devastating news in relation to culture secretary, Jeremy Hunt. The Telegraph’s Iain Martin has got this right – Cameron will use Hunt as…
How does he get out of the vote conundrum? Just got back home after out two and half weeks in Andalusia and am trying to catch up with what’s been happening. The thing I don’t understand about the Commons EU referendum vote issue is how Cameron & Co got into this position in the first place. Surely they should have seen this coming a mile off and tried to take some deflective action? Whatever the vote is taking place and…
Is now the moment for a female Labour leader? There are two big trends being featured in almost all of the polling: Firstly that Ed Miliband’s personal ratings remain dreadful and it’s hard to see how, given the importance of leaders in determining election outcomes, that his party could win with him at the helm. At the same time Cameron and the Tories continue to have problems appealing to women voters. In both the leader ratings and voter intention almost…
Make your prediction in this PB “poll” Which of Dave/Ed/Nick will be first to stop being party leader? David Cameron Nick Clegg Ed Miliband Mike Smithson is back on Thursday.
Should you take the 4/6 against him replacing Fox? I’m still on holiday in Spain and was determined not to post until next Friday – but this afternoon’s resignation of Liam Fox has prompted me to my lap-top. Ladbrokes were fast off the mark getting up a Fox replacement market and this has Philip Hammond as the 4/6 favourite. The price is a bit too tight for me but he is, surely, the minister best placed to take over. In…
With Mike Smithson on holiday there are fewer thread headers – but PB’s “Big Conversation” continues. Welcome to this afternoon’s open thread.
Mark Gill looks at the PM’s ratings ahead of today’s speech Prime minister David Cameron goes to Manchester as the second most popular of the last five prime ministers at the stage of their second party conferences. In Ipsos MORI’s September 2011 survey Camerons’s approval ratings were 39% satisfied and 52% dissatisfied, giving a net score of -13. This compares favourably against the -45 net approval for Brown (in Sept 2008), -27 for Major (in Sept 1992) and -23 for…