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Category: David Cameron

Will the next Tory leader be elected unopposed?

Will the next Tory leader be elected unopposed?

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  With all the recent weeks discussions about David Cameron’s leadership ending this parliament, the one thing that has crossed my mind is that if David Cameron is replaced as Tory Leader during this parliament, can the party, the coalition and the country cope with a long drawn out leadership contest? The 2001 Tory Leadership election lasted just over three months, from William Hague’s resignation on June the 8th, to IDS being declared the winner on September the 13th and The…

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Dave should remember this polling before he decides to withdraw from the debates

Dave should remember this polling before he decides to withdraw from the debates

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  There’s a report in the Independent this morning which says Amid increasing signs that the Conservatives would pull the plug on televised leaders’ debates if Mr Farage was included, the UKIP leader said he would be prepared to challenge efforts to stop him taking part in the courts. From January this year, there was polling on the debates that should make the Conservatives wary of pulling the plug on the debates. There’s a new poll out tonight by ComRes for…

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Is Philip Hammond on maneuvers, and should you be backing him as next out of the cabinet?

Is Philip Hammond on maneuvers, and should you be backing him as next out of the cabinet?

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In recent months, Philip Hammond has been offering his views on a range of topics, from Philip Hammond: cut welfare not troops  to Gay marriage laws have created ‘real sense of anger says Philip Hammond and finally, on that perennial fault line for the Conservative party, when he said, he would vote to leave the European Union which led to a rebuke from the Prime Minister. Following those interventions, the Sunday Telegraph reported over the weekend that Members of the Prime Minister’s inner circle have…

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Is Ed Miliband Cameron’s secret antidote to the UKIP surge?

Is Ed Miliband Cameron’s secret antidote to the UKIP surge?

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New PB thread, Is Ed Miliband Cameron’s secret antidote to the UKIP surgewww7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/arch… twitter.com/TSEofPB/status… — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) May 26, 2013 A little over a week ago, there was a report in The Times (££) talking about UKIP’s future fundraising plans. In a significant re-casting of its pitch to would-be supporters, the party is asking voters to “lend” their support for next year’s European elections but to give no further commitment. To achieve this, they will set up a special bank account, the…

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For the moment at least Woolwich makes a CON leadership challenge less likely

For the moment at least Woolwich makes a CON leadership challenge less likely

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Thursday’s Sun front page – “We killed this British soldier. It’s an eye for an eye” #tomorrowspaperstoday #Woolwich twitter.com/suttonnick/sta… — Nick Sutton (@suttonnick) May 22, 2013 This is the opportunity for Cameron to rise to the occasion. Will he? — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) May 23, 2013 PaddyPower CON leadership challenge prices. bit.ly/I8PkIOSee twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 23, 2013

PaddyPower offering betting market on whether Cameron will face a leadership challenge

PaddyPower offering betting market on whether Cameron will face a leadership challenge

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What does this say about Dave’s current position Full details of the “Will Cameron face aleadership challenge?” betting from PaddyPower. bit.ly/I8PkIO See. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 20, 2013 There’s definitely “something in the air” about the Conservatives at the moment and I’m one of many, I guess, who’ve had a punt on him facing a leadership challenge before GE2015. My sense is that if it did get to this stage then he’d lose – but I’ve covered this…

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My 7-1 and 10-1 bets that Cameron will be the first leader to go are starting to look promising

My 7-1 and 10-1 bets that Cameron will be the first leader to go are starting to look promising

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Great value bet at Stan James. Cameron 10/1 to be first leader to leave pre-general election. Dave’s most at risk. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 19, 2013 Alas good prices don’t last long. Since I got on yesterday the odds on this bet have now tightened to 6/1. Last October I placed a 7/1 bet with William Hill that Cameron would be the first of the three leaders to go. That, unlike the Stan James bet, is not restricted…

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The harsh fact for the Tories is that parties that appear divided get punished by the voters

The harsh fact for the Tories is that parties that appear divided get punished by the voters

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Welcome to a week that looks set to be dominated by Tory divisions on Europe.Familiar? goo.gl/wOAWX twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 13, 2013 The Indy on Sunday’s John Rentoul summed this up well in an excellent blog yesterday:- “That’s the news list gone for most of the week, as the vote on the symbolic Eurosceptic amendment in the Commons will wipe out most else, not least because of the unfamiliarity of a whipped abstention by government ministers. What are…

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