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Category: Coalition

Can Vince make a Brexit-exit work for the Lib Dems?

Can Vince make a Brexit-exit work for the Lib Dems?

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And can he expand new Lib Dems support beyond Europhiles? In the week when the Brexit talks finally got down to business, the Lib Dems acquired a new leader to head up the fight to – well, that’s the first question: what exactly are the opponents of the government’s Brexit policy (which itself is hardly perfectly defined) themselves advocating? Vince Cable is already seeking to ride more than one horse on Brexit, advocating both that Britain remain within the Single…

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Good night for LAB, bad one for the LDs in this week’s local by-elections

Good night for LAB, bad one for the LDs in this week’s local by-elections

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Alston Moor on Eden (Lib Dem defence) Result: Labour 407 (56%, no candidate last time), Conservative 253 (35% -10% on last time), Independent 57 (8%, no candidate last time), Green Party 13 (2%, no candidate last time) No Liberal Democrat candidate (-55%) Labour GAIN from Liberal Democrat with a majority of 154 (21%) on a notional swing of 33% from Conservative to Labour Billingham North on Stockton on Tees (Lab defence) Result: Labour 719 (40% +5% on last time), Conservative…

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TMay’s now a net 24 points behind Corbyn in Ipsos MORI leadership satisfaction ratings

TMay’s now a net 24 points behind Corbyn in Ipsos MORI leadership satisfaction ratings

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Not a good start for TMay as the Commons breaks up for the summer recess Seven weeks on from the General Election Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor finds that the negative shift in TMay’s personal ratings continues. Her ratings are the worst from the pollser for a Prime Minister in the month after an election. The firm has been polling in the UK since the mid-1970s One in three (34%) say they are satisfied with her performance as Prime Minister….

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Jeremy Hunt is clearly on manoeuvres and he’s also 100/1 to be next Tory leader

Jeremy Hunt is clearly on manoeuvres and he’s also 100/1 to be next Tory leader

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Jeremy Hunt snapped flashing briefing notes that warn hard Brexit means doctors 'fleeing' UKhttps://t.co/UwKamIiiVz pic.twitter.com/oOdhm2f4qq — Mirror Politics (@MirrorPolitics) July 4, 2017 FT BREXIT LEAD: Top ministers push to keep EU pharma ties #tomorrowspaperstoday pic.twitter.com/sHdlis5Ntr — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) July 3, 2017 .@Jeremy_Hunt clearly on Brexit manouevres: today's @FT letter and now an 'accidental' flash of doc in Downing St #sensiblebrexit — James Chapman (@jameschappers) July 4, 2017 Why I’ve taken the 100/1 on Jeremy Hunt to be Theresa May’s…

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If this story is right then you should take the 4/1 on Mrs May ceasing to be PM in 2019

If this story is right then you should take the 4/1 on Mrs May ceasing to be PM in 2019

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Good scoop. Terrible idea? https://t.co/GzIq9bfKJq — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) July 2, 2017 Even before her first anniversary as Prime Minister, Mrs May’s departure is being planned. The Sun are reporting that PRESSURE is growing on Theresa May from Tory grandees to name June 2019 as the time she will step down as PM. Senior party figures want her to spell out a timetable for her No10 departure at the Conservatives’ annual conference in October. Declaring she will stay on…

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David Davis continues to be the favourite to succeed TMay as CON leader

David Davis continues to be the favourite to succeed TMay as CON leader

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The big question is whether there’ll be a contest or will TMay hang on So TMay got her Queen’s Speech through the Commons with a majority of 14 thanks to the DUP and that probably reduces the immediate pressure on the PM. But without a majority it looks set to be an interesting time ahead. Unlike the CON-LD coalition the DUP obligation to vote with the Tories is limited to very specific issues and the chances are that there’ll be…

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Cost to tax-payers of TMay’s calamitous election decision and terrible campaign: £1bn

Cost to tax-payers of TMay’s calamitous election decision and terrible campaign: £1bn

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This gives the Tories an effective majority of 15 A deal has been done. The Tories are to be propped up in Parliament by the 10 DUP MPs who have negotiated a £1bn deal for the province. So TMay’s party will be able to struggle on although the parliamentary arithmetic still looks tight and is nothing like as comfortable as during the 2010-2015 CON-LD coalition. We are going to see some very tight Commons votes with the opposition parties seeking…

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Corbyn now Betfair favourite to be PM after TMay

Corbyn now Betfair favourite to be PM after TMay

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The LAB leader now a 21% as BoJo chances edge downwards With BoJo’s comments on fire-brigade cuts while he was Mayor going viral on social media and the assured visit to the Grenfell Tower scene by Corbyn yesterday there’s been a reaction on the PM after TMay betting market on Betfair. The LAB leader, rated as a 21% shot has now edged to the favourite slot as punters evaluate the impact of the tragedy on the current precarious political scene….

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