Why are phone polls showing a different picture? Overnight we had what is increasingly a rare event – a Westminster voting intention poll that was carried out by telephone in this case Populus for the Times. The shares are CON 36: LAB 40: LD 11. As the former head of polling at ICM, Nick Sparrow, was observing in his April PB polling column the phone pollsters are showing something of a different picture of opinion from the online firms which…
Poll Date CON % LAB % LD % OTH Angus Reid/ 10/04/11 31 42 11 16 Angus Reid/ 20/03/11 32 41 10 17 Angus Reid/ 04/03/11 33 41 10 16 Angus Reid/ 10/02/11 34 40 11 15 Angus Reid/Sunday Express 28/02/11 32 43 11 14 Angus Reid/ 25/01/11 33 41 12 13 Angus Reid/ 06/01/11 35 40 12 15 Angus Reid/ 20/12/10 35 41 9 12 Angus Reid/ 29/11/10 35 40 13 13 Angus Reid/ 28/10/10 35 37 15 11…
Latest AV referendum polls using the question that’s on the ballot
Click to watch interview Is the Lamb threat pointing to greater LD assertiveness? I’ve been out all day and am only just catching up with the Norman Lamb interview on today’s Politics Show in which he threatened to resign over the NHS changes. Although he is not that well-known Lamb is a key figure within the party and as well as being an assistant whip is also a close advisor to Nick Clegg. I cannot believe that he would have…
Why’s there no sign of activity on the ground? We’ve been debating the AV referendum on PB for more than a year. Well finally it’s here! With less than a month to go, the sun is out and the campaign proper has started. Let’s share reports from the front. Have you made up your mind? Is the march of AV campaigners deafening? And has your passion for AV or FPTP forced you out on the street? To get the ball…
Which party’s the most to fear from AV? The chart was prepared from polling data gathered by Professor John Curtice and presented to last week’s session on the alternative vote organised by the Political Studies Association. For each election those who had voted were asked who their second preference would be if they had had a choice. What’s striking about the historical line is that 2010 was the only one of the general elections where the LD split was not…
Is it possible to make it a British not a Scottish election? At a briefing session this week organised by the Political Studies Association Professor James Mitchell of Strathclyde University made this cogent point about the elections to the devolved Scottish parliament at Holyrood:- “Evidence suggests that if this election becomes a referendum on the coalition in London, then Labour is likely to be the largest party but if it focuses on which party is most competent to govern Scotland…
Is the problem about presentation and coordination?. Just looking back at an old episode of “In the thick of it” and it struck me that a Malcolm Tucker figure might be what Number 10 needs at the moment. What’s coming over as a mess would is down to a lack of focus and poor coordination. A Tucker would certainly help. Number 10 seems to be missing Andy Coulson and the new guy has got a lot to learn. Mike Smithson