Yesterday, before the sad news about the Queen, the new PM, Liz Truss, was talking about her plans for the UK’s future energy policy a key part of which was about changing the law that restricts fracking. She said she wanted to lift the moratorium, brought in by the Tories, to get gas flowing from this source in as soon as six months. This is a subject that the environmentally conscious new King has been very opposed to in the…
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As one Elizabethan era begins I fear another one is about to end. Even ardent republicans like myself know we are unlikely to ever see someone like Queen Elizabeth II again. It is clear something serious is up with her with so many family rushing to Balmoral today. TSE
YouGov have a LAB 15% lead The Times is reporting a new YouGov poll where all the fieldwork took place after she became PM. The numbers are not encouraging for the new leader and according to the report LAB is 15% ahead. The other details are not included in the report and we will have to wait for the full breakdown. One detail we have is that YouGov found that 25% of those polled thought she would make the best…
As can be seen from the Ipsos chart Starmer has a net 13%+ rating (40% positive less 27% negative )on this measure from Ipsos in a poll carried out entirely after Truss became PM. She on the other hand is on a net minus 2% so the gap between them is fifteen percentage points. This is just about the first post PM Truss polling to be published and shows the extent of the battle she faces. I don’t think the…
Kick off is as usual at noon. This is a very big moment for both leaders but unfortunately, I have a longstanding family engagement in London and will not be able to watch live. I’m sure that both main party leaders are a bit nervous and their teams have been working hard trying to work out the best way to play this. No doubt Starmer will have dug up something that has been said on the campaign trail by Truss…
On this first day of the Truss Premiership, the betting markets are giving her a 41% chance of being Prime Minister after the next general election. As can be seen from the chart LAB is a 57% chance. I think that these current odds on Truss overstate her chances. This is on two grounds. Labour has consistently had a lead in the polls since last December and there has been little indication that this is easing off even though the…