Do you fancy a 2% return in a week?
If the answer is yes to the question in the headline then this Ladbrokes market is for you. TSE
The Canadian petri dish
Former Governor of the Bank of England turned Prime Minister of Canada Mark Carney has called an election for the 28th of April and this will be a test if Donald Trump’s interventions can shape elections outside of Les Etats-Unis. As we can see in the chart above we can see Trump’s interventions have moved voting intentions but will this translate into real votes. If Donald Trump’s strategy was to win over Canadians he has been so bad at it,…
Labour are starting to own the economy
The final chart from YouGov might mean Labour will lose their defence of blaming the Tories for the state of the economy. TSE
A new public funding model
With UK government borrowing at an estimated £120 billion a year it is clear that tax-and-spend will no longer work in terms of investing in order to generate growth. The Covid pandemic saw governments across the globe borrow through Quantitative Easing (QE) in order to finance the extraordinary situation. The UK government borrowed some £400 billion in order to get through the crisis mostly via QE. Very little of that money was invested for the long-term. Most went on furlough…
The Tory irrelevance continues
I have said for a while that the biggest threat for the Tories is that the narrative for the next election is a fight between Labour and Reform, this polling reinforces that. If Kemi Badenoch wants to become Prime Minister it is a narrative she needs to destroy and reshape. TSE
This polling may trigger some people
I have always been quite dismissive of people when it comes to the Ship of Theseus philosophical question who say it is the same ship. Using the broom question I cannot help but roll my eyes at 29% of the public. TSE
Reeves, nearly as bad as Covid and Truss & Kwarteng but Lab still continue to lead on the economy
I find this polling from Ipsos intriguing. The précis of the findings is the pubic think Starmer & Reeves are, economically, nearly as bad the pandemic and the Truss/Kwarteng experience yet Labour are still the most trusted to manage the economy but that score is 23% which is like being the most beautiful turkey at the farm in the run up to Christmas. The first chart shows that when governments get ratings this bad they seldom go on and win…
Wow, Lib Dem Chief Whip takes action to stop a defection to Lab in The Commons
TSE