The “collective wisdom” view on key seat betting In table above we feature the first part of the predictions for key general election seats from a group of PB betting regulars who are modestly calling themselves “The PB Super Six”. Can I thank Peter the Punter and ScottP for pulling this together. The plan is to show all the seats where they have got bets on and the colour coding indicates where their money is going. This is part 1….
40% 23% 20% A third pollster reports a 17 point Labour deficit Tonight sees the launch of the exclusive new monthly poll by the leading Canadian firm, Angus Reid Strategies for Politicalbetting.com – and the timing could nor be more apt. The main party figures are above. The “others” are UKIP 5%: GRN 3%: BNP 3%: SNP 3%: PC 1%. Extraordinarily the findings, like the ones from Ipsos-MORI and ICM earlier tonight show exactly the same Labour deficit – seventeen…
And is it made worse by the decision on Jacqui? Almost all the front pages this morning are devoted to the second eruption of the MPs expenses scandal and, in particular, the focus on Mr. Brown. We wait to see whether the further inquiries of Cameron will produce bad headlines for him but for the moment the fact that the PM is going to have to pay a slab of money back is not going to help his chances of…
The new series with the emphasis on predicting the outcome One of the frustrations of trying to predict or bet on the general election outcome is that when a poll is published we are reliant for what’s asked and how it is reported on the media organisation that has commissioned it. Quite often significant detail is not included and it can be days before we have it. For us the key numbers are the voting intention ones and we are…
Will “we” end up with getting the best prediction? Discussions are taking place on a plan that would give me something that I have always wanted for the site – a regular monthly poll of voting intentions carried out exclusively for Politicalbetting.com by a leading polling organisation. For at the moment we have to rely completely on others and when polls do come out the information that’s available is usually quite limited. Often we have to wait for a few…
Providing a more structured platform for guest slots Yesterday’s article reflecting on Norwich North from Bunnco and today’s advice on F1 Drivers’ betting from Morris Dancer mark the first stage of a plan to open up PB’s second site to regular contributors who want to publish more considered contributions than standard posts on threads. The mechanics involving providing log-ins for regular posters who would then write their articles and publish them without me or anybody else on the PB team…
Keeping up with the site while on the move In order to meet the need of PBers who want to follow the site while on the move but might be worried by the cost of roaming data charges while abroad we’ve created PB Mobile. This is a US-based service and it is configured for US users which is a tad irritating. It won’t send set-up instruction to non-US mobiles numbers and its way of handling comments system has a couple…
SkyNews Could the fast Tory action put more pressure on Brown? The expenses saga has taken a new turn with a leading Cameron aide being forced to resign – not as a result of stories in the press but because of the party’s new procedures for looking at what is going on. It strikes me that this element is critically important as all the parties try to get ahead of the game and ensure that they come out of this…