Browsed by
Author: TSE

The buzzword bingo on Cameron’s conference speech

The buzzword bingo on Cameron’s conference speech

Comments 0 Comment

The @LadPolitics market on what Cameron will say during his conference speech. https://t.co/1VsQqUikrJ pic.twitter.com/KgBB1oQ0hZ — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 4, 2015 Ladbrokes have a market up on “Which exact words or phrases will Cameron use in his Conference speech?” The normal caveat on this type of betting market needs to reiterated. These sorts of markets usually act as a bookmaker’s bonus found. However I do like the “You Can’t Trust Labour” at 5/1 as it would fit in with the pattern that the…

Read More Read More

Antifrank’s 50/1 tip to be next Labour leader

Antifrank’s 50/1 tip to be next Labour leader

Comments 0 Comment

Antifrank explains why he’s bet on John McDonnell to be the next Labour leader  Jeremy Corbyn has been leader of the Labour party for just over a fortnight and already there are rumblings about who might replace him.  Some bookies already have markets up and running (though they may well have more value at present for publicity rather than for making money).  Are there any bargains out there? Jeremy Corbyn may leave office in many years time after a stint…

Read More Read More

The flaw in Corbyn’s plan to win the next election by signing up non-voters and the young

The flaw in Corbyn’s plan to win the next election by signing up non-voters and the young

Comments 0 Comment

Intriguing. @jeremycorbyn plan to win next election is to change the electorate – signing up non-voters & the young. @BBCr4today — Nick Robinson (@bbcnickrobinson) September 30, 2015 Labour risk piling up votes where they don’t need it Mr Corbyn’s plan has the major flaw that in the 100 seats with the lowest turnout in England Labour hold 94 of them, and 95 out of the 100 seats with the lowest turnout in England and Wales. When you extend the analysis…

Read More Read More

Antifrank on the choices of Jeremy Corbyn

Antifrank on the choices of Jeremy Corbyn

Comments 0 Comment

A tale of top buttons and constitutional principle Since being elected Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn has wandered into controversy after controversy.  Some of a these have been narrowly political but many have not. There was surprise when he ducked out of an interview with Andrew Marr the day after being elected Labour leader.  There was consternation when he attended a Battle of Britain memorial with his top button undone and stood in “respectful silence” rather than sing the national anthem. …

Read More Read More

Don’t read too much into primary polls at this point in the electoral cycle

Don’t read too much into primary polls at this point in the electoral cycle

Comments 0 Comment

In September 2007 eventual nominee John McCain was polling poorly. https://t.co/29bc8Nm00y pic.twitter.com/qUHfT2oQHT — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 27, 2015 Out of the fifteen polls completed in September 2007, John McCain the eventual nominee didn’t lead in any of them polling as low as 10% and generally being in a distant third/fourth place behind the frontrunners Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson who were polling in the 30s. In October 2007 McCain polled as low as 8%. In early September 2011 the polling…

Read More Read More

UKIP are doing a passable impression of ferrets in a sack again

UKIP are doing a passable impression of ferrets in a sack again

Comments 0 Comment

"millionaire causing increasing concern among Eurosceptics who fear his bizarre behaviour will hurt" EUsceptic cause https://t.co/jlNsYWNf82 — Douglas Carswell MP (@DouglasCarswell) September 26, 2015 For a party with only one MP such regular ructions is a real achievement The above is a tweet from Douglas Carswell quoting an article about the UKIP donor Arron Banks, the rest of Douglas Carswell’s twitter feed over the past few days has been similarly entertaining about his disagreements and issues with Banks and his…

Read More Read More

The buzzword bingo on Mr Corbyn’s conference speech

The buzzword bingo on Mr Corbyn’s conference speech

Comments 0 Comment

What Corbyn might say in his conference speech by @LadPolitics Dictatorship of the Proletariat also at 100/1 pic.twitter.com/rl9RFyFdwD — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 26, 2015 Will Mr Corbyn be a ‘swine’ and mention Dave’s porcine issue? Ladbrokes have a market up on what exact words or phrases Mr Corbyn will say during his speech at the Labour party conference. I’ve said before these betting markets often appear to exist purely to fund the bookies’ bonus fund and this one appears not…

Read More Read More