But will it shift any/many votes? I have my doubts. You’d have to be on the left hand side of the Bell curve if you aren’t worried by a Trump presidency. Forget his fascist tendencies for a moment, his plans for tariffs would be a disaster not just for America but the world. Donald Trump remains the favourite on Betfair and the polls generally indicate he will be the new Grover Cleveland. TSE
I love surreal poll questions like this. I am in the 12%. TSE
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Today is the second anniversary of the end of the premiership of Liz Truss. I am very fond of Liz Truss and her tenure as Prime Minister because her resignation allowed me to win £500. I suspect Labour are similarly fond of Liz Truss because her disastrous tenure which spooked the markets, sacked her Chancellor, the utter poop show on the fracking vote which led to the Chief Whip & Deputy Chief Whip resigning, and of course the lettuce. History…
Earlier on this year I thought abortion would be the key factor that would help the Dems retain the White House next month as it would drive their base to turnout and vote but the closer we get to the election it’s the economy, stupid, then immigration which favours Donald Trump. TSE
My concern is that even if Harris is tied or even slightly ahead then Trump wins the electoral college. TSE
I still think Harris remains value. TSE
On Saturday I did partake in a YouGov poll of Tory members, the last poll had Badenoch defeating Jenrick by the cursed ratio of 52% to 48%. If a new poll shows something similar or Jenrick ahead then I’d expect this market to be jolted. But on the last available evidence Jenrick represents some value. TSE