This may become a defining image/legacy of the Trump/Putin summit
TSE
Reaching a majority
Ladbrokes have a couple of majority related markets. When it comes to the first market on if any party will win a majority, this isn’t a market I am plan to play at the moment. It is possible for a party to win a majority on circa 25% of the vote. I think it might be better to play the Betfair markets on the individual parties and whether they will win a majority and trade in and out accordingly. If…
Thistle do nicely, a 16% return in 9 months?
Ladbrokes have put up a market on who will win the most seats at next year’s Holyrood election and it is a stunning achievement for the the SNP to be the 1/6 favourites when by the time of next year’s election they will have been in power for 19 (nineteen) years. I cannot see Sir Keir Starmer repeating his Malleus Scotnatorum performance from last year’s general election which is down to the performance of his government, I do not expect…
44% of the public are liars, in fact 59% of them are liars once you add Don’t Knows
TSE
Flipping Texas and Florida?
TSE
Could one man win both Strictly Come Dancing and the next London mayoral election?
This is very firm QTWTAIN contender, simply because I cannot see how Reform do well in London, especially as the voting system in 2028 will be the supplementary vote system which I expect to be unfavourable to Reform. As a Strictly superfan I suspect he won’t be the winner where I think the value might be Alex Kingston, who famously played River Song in Doctor Who. The wife of the Doctor dancing and winning is currently around 16/1. Harry Aikines-Aryeetey…
The revolting Welsh. Will they reject Labour?
Ladbrokes have finally put up a market on which party will win the most seats at next year’s Senedd election. The polling currently indicates Reform are on course to win most seats but I think the value might be on Labour at 5/1 if there’s any swingback to the governing party, it might also be a good petri dish to see if there’s any tactical voting against Reform, although Plaid Cymru might also benefit from that too. It is entirely…
Gizza job
I am of the view elections will always be determined by the economy so this trend should worry Labour, it’s not good for them or the country that the difficulty in getting a job is heading towards pandemic levels. TSE