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I know I am the last man on the planet to criticise another person’s approach to relationships but I have been giggling like an idiot at Jeremy Corbyn’s approach to relationships. When your partner complains about a lack of social activities in your relationship, taking her to see the tomb of Karl Marx isn’t going to keep her happy. As for taking her to France and taking instant macaroni and other processed foods is again a courageous strategy. Perhaps this…

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For over a week Donald Trump has been the favourite on Betfair and with the forthcoming debate on Tuesday evening (American time) might change that. Normally debates don’t matter but Joe Biden’s disastrous performance in June saw a massive change on Betfair and saw Biden eventually quit the race. In 2020 (in both the primary and the Vice Presidential) debates Kamala Harris wasn’t that impressive considering she is a lawyer and prosecutor but if Trump puts in a performance like…

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In today’s The Times supporters of Kemi Badenoch are whining that Tory MPs are voting tactically In today’s The Times supporters of Kemi Badenoch are whining that Tory MPs are voting tactically Supporters of Kemi Badenoch fear that she is the victim of a “dirty tricks” campaign designed to push her out of the Tory leadership race. Champions of the housing, communities and local government shadow secretary are privately questioning the results of the first round of the contest, which…

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Ladbrokes have bets on Nigel Farage, to be honest none of them very attractive, sadly there’s no market on Farage becoming Donald Trump’s personal proctologist in the next year or going back on I’m A Celebrity to eat a kangaroo’s bung hole. TSE

William Hill have a market up on whether Starmer will be PM at the next election. You’re potentially tying your money up for nearly five years if you think he will for a tiday 25% return. If you think he won’t, then better proxy bets could be available on say the next leader markets. As Jeremy Corbyn (and to a lesser Ed Miliband) showed it is very difficult to shift a sitting Labour leader. Labour do not appear to have…

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The chart shows the betting movement over the last 48 hours. I think the value is with Cleverly and Mel Stride whose price I’d expect to move massively if he finishes ahead of Tom Tugendhat next week in the second round. TSE

I think this is a disastrous result for Tom Tugendhat and it is entirely possible that he gets knocked out next week as Mel Stride hoovers up the votes that Tom Tugendhat was expecting. I hope you all followed my tip when I said Mel Stride was value at 75. TSE

Today voting begins in the Tory leadership election and some past quotes from bandwagon jumping Badenoch from the 2022 leadership election where she effectively endorses Labour’s current policy on the winter fuel allowance. If she becomes Tory leader it will blunt any Tory attacks on Labour’s winter fuel allowance policy because all Starmer et al have to do is use Badenoch’s words against her. I suspect these comments will go down very badly with the predominantly elderly Tory members. I…

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