This morning I focussed on a poll from Ipsos which showed Labour has the potential to gain the most from tactical voting and this polling from YouGov will help reinforce that. Calling Reform policies racist might not be damaging for Starmer and Labour. A big shout out to the 5% of Reform voters who admit Reform voters are racist. TSE
This polling from Ipsos in my humble opinion brings good news for Labour, around the time of this polling Ipsos had Reform polling 34% and Labour polling 22% which isn’t out of line with other pollsters. As we can see in the above polling when voters are asked to choose who would they prefer to form the next government and Starmer’s Labour takes the lead whereas Reform are getting barely above their voting intention figure. If Labour are going to…
I’ve not been able to watch Starmer’s speech due to work commitments so cannot comment upon it yet, a colleague observed earlier on they would expect Starmer to remind the country that he’s a lawyer. TSE
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A lot of focus will be on Andy Burnham outpolling Sir Keir Starmer in a hypothetical leadership contest but this polling is moot given Andy Burnham isn’t an MP, it will be difficult for him to become an MP, and the polling was taken before his recent implosion. My main focus is on what I think is the value in backing Bridget Phillipson to win the deputy leadership given YouGov’s track record in leadership contests, at 8s when she’s only…
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Across three different pollsters we could soon the Tories in fifth place, which I think would trigger problems for Kemi Badenoch as the party’s MPs and donors just wouldn’t countenance it. If the remaining Tory voters start to think their vote will be wasted and the party sinks lower. TSE
‘Vote Reform get Putin’ might be a great slogan for the opponents of Reform in Wales but does Nigel Farage have the skill to deal with this and will the voters care? TSE