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Author: TSE

The great disappointment

The great disappointment

One message that Nigel Farage and Reform are pushing is that the Tories and Labour are effectively one party and that it is time for something completely different. That doubling of Labour voters who think the Tories and Labour are similar suggests this might be a fertile ground for Farage & Reform, as well as the Greens, Lib Dems, and for the Celtic nationalists as Labour’s support potentially splinters in several directions. TSE

The latest White House betting

The latest White House betting

The Republicans have regained the favourites slot after Trump’s latest tariffs announcement. I suspect over the next few months this betting market may end up reflecting the US markets both in terms of equity and borrowing costs. TSE

Third term problems

Third term problems

i find this polling intriguing because I was expecting more Republican voters to a) want Trump to have a third term and b) believe the constitution allows him to do so. TSE

Labour cuts v Tory cuts

Labour cuts v Tory cuts

‘A true victory is to make your enemy see they were wrong to oppose you in the first place. To force them to acknowledge your greatness.’ – Gul Dukat, Star Trek: Deep Space Nine. I find this polling fascinating, for the simple fact that the public see Labour’s cuts as significantly more unfair than the coalition cuts. George Osborne must be experiencing a frisson of comfort upon seeing this polling and channelling his inner Gul Dukat. This polling is the…

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