?? MEGA POLL!

10K sample.

Labour leads by 26%.

Tied-lowest Conservative % with Sunak as PM.

Westminster VI (31/5 – 2/6):

Labour 46% (–)
Conservative 20% (-3)
Reform 14% (+1)
Lib Dem 10% (+1)
Green 5% (–)
SNP 2% (-1)
Other 2% (-1)

Changes +/- 25-27/5https://t.co/OXNaqzyEgw pic.twitter.com/GTTqeNWwuJ

— Redfield & Wilton Strategies (@RedfieldWilton) June 3, 2024

?? Our first @Moreincommon_ @TheNewsAgents MRP of the campaign projects a Labour majority of 114
? Labour 382 (+180)
? Conservative 180 (-185)
? Lib Dem 30 (+19)
? SNP 35 (-13)
?Plaid 3 (-1)
? Green 1 (-)
Changes on 2019 actual seat totalshttps://t.co/blfhe8TY53

— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) June 3, 2024

Our first MRP of the 2024 general election shows Labour winning a majority of 194, larger than even Tony Blair's landslides

Labour: 422 (+220 from GE2019)
Conservative: 140 (-225)
Lib Dem: 48 (+37)
SNP: 17 (-31)
Green: 2 (+1)
PC: 2 (-2)
Reform UK: 0 (=)https://t.co/P20M6KsS4p pic.twitter.com/bRkmaVeAwh

— YouGov (@YouGov) June 3, 2024

Ah Farage is running in Clacton. That means he does want to win and be in Parliament. It's the only seat I think Reform can win (on current polling).

Well this day couldn't get much worse for the Tories.

— Sam Freedman (@Samfr) June 3, 2024

This remains true. Farage’s return may yet tip the balance of an already bad election towards extinction level outcomes for the Conservatives. It will certainly generate plenty of media attention, and will probably trigger panic in Tory ranks too. https://t.co/By4UNrWiG1

— Rob Ford (@robfordmancs) June 3, 2024