The Swinney slump continues
This is the second poll since Humza Yousaf’s announcement that he was going to resign and it is another poll showing the SNP falling back in the polls.
I would wait until we have first poll conducted entirely after John Swinney became First Minister before making definitive pronouncements. I would also consider the Holyrood polls a bit of an irrelevance at the moment, the result of the Westminster election in any direction could alter voting intentions there particularly if the result is sub-optimal for the SNP and leads to Swinney being replaced.
Labour will be chuffed that they lead in a Savanta Scottish poll for the first time and fits in with the belief backed up by actual votes that Scotland is coming back to Labour.
We are potentially eight months from the next UK general election which gives John Swinney enough time to turn things around by then, all he has to do is harness that 48% who still back Scottish independence although his decision on abolishing the role of minister for independence might be sub-optimal on that front.
TSE
Update – The Swinney slump continues