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Month: September 2017

The first voting poll since TMay’s “not a quitter” assertion has LAB lead up to 5

The first voting poll since TMay’s “not a quitter” assertion has LAB lead up to 5

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LAB lead extend lead with Survation – most accurate pollster at GE17LAB 43% +2CON 38% =LD 7% -1UKIP 4% -2Change since mid July — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 3, 2017 The Sunday papers won’t make comfortable reading for Mrs May following her assertion during the week that she was not a quitter and wanted to fight the next general election as prime minister. Survation, the pollster that got closest with the June 8th general election result, has now got a…

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YouGov finds 7 out 10 voters, and 4 out 10 Tories don’t want Mrs May to fight the next general election

YouGov finds 7 out 10 voters, and 4 out 10 Tories don’t want Mrs May to fight the next general election

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YouGov poll for The Sunday times finds 7 out 10 voters, and 4 out 10 Tories don't want Mrs May to fight the next general election. — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 2, 2017 The YouGov poll finds 23% of all voters want Mrs May to go now, 48% want her to go before 2022, & 30% wanted to fight the next GE as leader — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 2, 2017 So Mrs May ignored Sir Lynton Crosby's advice not to hold…

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May’s comments on retirement are more about 2019 than 2022

May’s comments on retirement are more about 2019 than 2022

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Her party will give her Brexit but not another election Theresa May might be on the other side of the world but she can no doubt still hear the cacophony of silence from her cabinet colleagues in support of her comment stating her desire to lead the Conservatives into the next election. As so often, what is not said is more revealing than what is. To be fair, the question of whether a leader intends to stand down within a…

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LAB the big winner in the August local by-elections with net gain of 3 and vote share up 14%

LAB the big winner in the August local by-elections with net gain of 3 and vote share up 14%

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Local By-Election Summary : August 2017 Votes Cast, Share and Change on last time Labour 6,275 votes (41% +14% on last time) winning 6 seats (+3 seats on last time) Conservatives 5,893 votes (38% +3% on last time) winning 5 seats (unchanged on last time) Liberal Democrats 2,000 votes (13% +4% on last time) winning 1 seat (unchanged on last time) United Kingdom Independence Party 618 votes (4% -14% on last time) winning 0 seats (-2 seats on last time)…

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Corbyn now takes over the favourite slot in the next PM betting

Corbyn now takes over the favourite slot in the next PM betting

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Oddschecker TMay’s successor as PM is a betting market we’ve not looked at for some time and the big development is that LAB leader, Jeremy Corbyn is now the favourite from a range of bookies. Much of this is down to the fact that there is no clear alternative to TMay as Tory leader though that could change during the coming party conference season. I’m not sure I’d agree with the betting and this isn’t a market I’ve had any…

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