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Month: October 2013

LAB spinners pull off the old “it’s a private poll” ruse

LAB spinners pull off the old “it’s a private poll” ruse

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How to get publicity for a survey that supports your position. Say it's a "private poll" http://t.co/cemqGJdvT0 pic.twitter.com/KEDHGMDX8c — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 29, 2013 There’s been a bit of a flurry after a piece on the Speccie Coffee House blog about the “private polling behind Labour’s energy bill swagger”. There’s nothing it seems, that journos like more than being given sight of “private polling”. Suddenly something that might be run of the mill has that extra dimension to it and…

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Looking at the trend in YouGov polls since mid-Sept it does seem that LAB has had 2-3 pc boost

Looking at the trend in YouGov polls since mid-Sept it does seem that LAB has had 2-3 pc boost

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Update : Labour lead at 9 – Latest YouGov/ The Sun results 28th October – Con 31%, Lab 40%, LD 9%, UKIP 12%; APP -28 http://t.co/xof1uRF0TJ — YouGov (@YouGov) October 29, 2013 A year ago the party was in the 42%-44% range The two great rules of polling analysis are focus on party shares not leads and always look at the trend. This is what I’ve tried to do in the above chart focusing on the LAB share since Miliband’s…

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CON drop 5 in latest ComRes phone survey to equal the party’s lowest point ever point in this polling series

CON drop 5 in latest ComRes phone survey to equal the party’s lowest point ever point in this polling series

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The 5% increase in OTH in ComResIndy poll is made up of Greens up 2 to 5% and "Other others" up 3 to 4% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 28, 2013 By 80% to 17% those in the ComRes/Indy poll say they back the energy price frees. Only 41%, though, believe that EdM can deliver — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 28, 2013 But what’s behind the 5% increase for others? The latest ComRes phone poll for the Indy out and…

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Marf on a windy day and LAB still struggling to win CON converts

Marf on a windy day and LAB still struggling to win CON converts

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New Populus Voting Intention figures: Lab 38 (-1); Cons 33 (-1); LD 12 (+1); UKIP 9 (-1); Oth 7 (-1) Tables here: http://t.co/yhVZrjsukR — Populus (@PopulusPolls) October 28, 2013 The chart shows the broad make-up of the current LAB vote according to today’s poll. Although there is the normal variation from pollster to pollster and poll to poll the big picture is the same – very few CON voters from last time have moved into the LAB camp. Looking back…

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Questions on satisfaction with your own MP should become a regular part of polling

Questions on satisfaction with your own MP should become a regular part of polling

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Our vote is not for a party or PM but for an individual MP A key aspect of UK elections that seems to get sidelined is the nature of what we are actually doing when we vote at general elections. We are not, except in the EU parliament elections, voting for a specific party and we are not voting for a Prime Minister. Our choice is for an individual to represent us at Westminster and to many voters that, as…

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Calling all PB Football Fans!

Calling all PB Football Fans!

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Hello PB’ers, This is Robert, Mike’s son and the technical administrator for the site. I’d just like to use the site as an advertisement for a business I’m involved in, Crowdscores. The idea is simple: crowdsourced football scores. Fans watching games record goals, and the like, and this means that we have the fastest football scores around. (We also have a nice line in fan generated commentary.) Currently, we do Premiership, SPL, and European games. But this idea is perfectly…

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Tories get closer in Mail on Sunday Survation poll

Tories get closer in Mail on Sunday Survation poll

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60% back the abolition of green taxes By 60% to 18% those in the poll said they opposed when asked this question: “At the moment the average annual household energy bill includes £128 in “green taxes”, used to subsidise items such as wind farms, and other government measures. By 2020, this figure will be around £270 Do you support or oppose the existence of these charges?” Just 25% told the firm that Cameron was rolling back green taxes because he…

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