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Month: September 2013

If EdM retains the 2010 LD>LAB switchers then it is job well done

If EdM retains the 2010 LD>LAB switchers then it is job well done

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EdM at TUC Only thing that matters electorally is that LAB keeps 2010 LDs who've switched My view: nothing's changed pic.twitter.com/8mAI3VMgS2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 10, 2013 It’s been a big day for Ed Miliband and I got the sense that many of the media reps went away from his TUC speech disappointed that the story they were expecting didn’t happen. For there was no booing or other obvious disent only a fairly lukewarm response from delegates. But that doesn’t matter…

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Time to bring on a replacement: Yvette Cooper should be shadow chancellor in place of her husband

Time to bring on a replacement: Yvette Cooper should be shadow chancellor in place of her husband

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Sport here: according to #FT some around @Ed_Miliband think @edballsmp "may have to be sacrificed unless things turn around" — Benedict Brogan (@benedictbrogan) September 10, 2013 LAB slips further on the economy When Ed Balls was made shadow chancellor in January 2011 the Tories had a lead of just 2% in YouGov’s tracker on best party on the economy. Today’s YouGov has that at 7% which equals the largest Tory lead this year. Even more worrying for Labour is that…

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Fewer than one in five rate rank renegotiating with the EU as a top government priority

Fewer than one in five rate rank renegotiating with the EU as a top government priority

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New test of salience of issues from TNS-BMRB As we’ve discussed many times here before the salience of an issue can be as important as establishing what people’s view are. Tonight’s sees a new polling question from TNS BMRB which lists a series of possible priorities and asks respondents to select up to three of them. The outcome is seen in the chart above. As can be seen just 19% of the sample placed renegotiating with the EU in their…

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Why Ed Miliband can take some comfort from Tony Abbott’s victory in Australia

Why Ed Miliband can take some comfort from Tony Abbott’s victory in Australia

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In July he was 14% behind as “preferred Prime Minister” One footnote from the last week’s Austrailian general election and the change of government is that the new prime minister trailed Kevin Rudd in the approval and “preferred Prime Minister” ratings. Only a few weeks ago the eventual winner was 14% behind in some of the polls while the man who was to lose, Kevin Rudd, became the only Australian party leader in two and a half years to have…

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The mismatch between what Scottish people think their government should be doing and their perception of what it is doing

The mismatch between what Scottish people think their government should be doing and their perception of what it is doing

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This could be the killer for YES There is a mega-sample Michael Ashcroft poll out this morning which I think highlights the biggest challenge facing YES – that Scottish people don’t think it should be the priority that the SNP is making it. The charts say it all and point to the way that NO should be campaigning. Don’t deal with the core issue but attack the Scottish government for giving it the priority it is giving it. My big…

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Voters are as opposed to Royal Mail privatisation as they are to British missile attacks on Syria

Voters are as opposed to Royal Mail privatisation as they are to British missile attacks on Syria

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I was very struck by the cross party opposition to Royal Mail privatisation in this morning’s YouGov poll. The overall polling looks very similar to that carried out ahead of the Commons vote on Syria though I doubt whether here public opinion be listened to quite so much. All three main parties have got their thumb prints in some ways on this in one way or another. If the main might minister in charge had been a Tory rather than…

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Sunday Morning Polling Round Up

Sunday Morning Polling Round Up

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There were three polls released overnight, The YouGov for the Sunday Times, an Opinium poll for the Observer, and a Wisdom Index Poll for the Sunday Telegraph (which asks what voters think each party will get at the next General Election) On voting intention   Sunday Times/YouGov Poll Con 34 Lab 38 LD 9 UKIP 12 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 8, 2013 Opinium poll for the Observer Labour lead down 2 to 5%. Con 30% (+1) Lab 35% (-1) LD 7% (-1)…

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Whose 2020 Vision will the IOC go for?

Whose 2020 Vision will the IOC go for?

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  At around 9pm BST, the IOC will announce the host city for the Games of the XXXIInd Olympiad – Istanbul, Madrid or Tokyo.  At the time of writing, Tokyo was the favourite at 8/11 with Coral, followed by Madrid (best with Paddy Power at 9/5), with Istanbul as the outsider (8/1 with Ladbrokes). None of the three should be written off.  Istanbul has been bidding since the 1990s and this is its strongest effort by some way.  The country…

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