Dave might be out-pointing Ed on leader ratings and CON leads on the economy – but the blues remain the most disliked party
Will this be the determining factor at GE2015?
LAB retains its double digit lead in the August Ipsos-MORI phone poll
But the blues edge out of the 20s We’ve got the first details of the Ipsos-MORI poll in the Evening Standard which only gives partial details and wrongly describes “Leader Satisfaction ratings” as “Approval Ratings”. The big news is an increase in those disliking EdM – but let’s wait for proper numbers. I’ll update this post when we get full data from the pollster. Update – the satisfaction ratings Latest Ipsos-MORI leader and government satisfaction ratings. Farage joins the others…
As we await the August IPSOS-MORI poll here are the latest GE2015 outcome prices
Latest GE20115 betting has CON majority best price at 4/1. See chart with prices & where money is going pic.twitter.com/LmPTpEg42y — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 15, 2013 The August political monitor from Ipsos-MORI is expected later this morning with its regular leader satisfaction ratings and great set of charts. No other pollster presents their data in such an attractive and comprehensive way and there’s almost always good analysis from the firm which has been polling longer than anyone else. While…
Night Hawks is open
Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, It Would Be So Nice if some of you delurked, I have High Hopes that some of you become Another Brick in the PB Wall. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Get real – the coalition only handed their dodgy…
Harry Hayfield: How retiring MPs could add to Lib Dem woes
With recent polls putting the Liberal Democrats at 10% of the national vote (in a virtual tie with UKIP and half their general election vote in 2010), it is safe to say that most Liberal Democrat activists are starting to get just a little on the edgy side about the next election (now less than 21 months away, assuming there isn’t a vote of no confidence as in Germany a few years ago). The most recent polls suggest that Labour…
The Tories and Lib Dems need to give this money back immediately
Great scoop by Mail http://t.co/6In5fJ3qBD on CON & LDs diverting spinsters bequest to nation into party coffers pic.twitter.com/3TwWsfuIxm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 14, 2013 Just when the narrative was moving against LAB this happens This is how the Mail story linked to in the Tweet above starts: ” The Tories and Lib Dems stood accused of ‘robbery’ yesterday after pocketing a £520,000 bequest to the nation left in an elderly spinster’s will. When she died aged 90, former nurse…
Night hawks is now open
Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, if you do delurk tonight, Welcome to the Pleasuredome that is PB. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Cameron’s chance of winning election ‘diminishing’, Tory activists warn Recovery will be central to Why Labour could win in…
Data specialist Stephen Dunn gives his assessment of the Tory party hire of Jim Messina
Jim Messina – the ex-Obama strategist now advising the Tories pic.twitter.com/BnFcbbdlHO — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 10, 2013 Is it different over here compared with the US? Jim Messina, who was chief campaign manager for Barak Obama’s 2012 election campaign, has recently been recruited to assist the Tories with their 2015 campaign. This has attracted lots of attention and comment. Jim is known for utilising the power of “Big Data†– Massive, indivualised datasets that, allow fantastically detailed contact with…