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Month: June 2013

Local By-Election Preview: June 13th 2013

Local By-Election Preview: June 13th 2013

Liversedge and Gomersal on Kirklees (Con Defence) Last Local Elections (2012): Lab 32, Con 18, Lib Dem 10, Green 5, Others 4 (No Overall Control, Lab short by 3) Ward Results in current electoral cycle Local Elections   2010 Local Elections   2011 Local Elections   2012 Party Votes Cast % Share Votes Cast % Share Votes Cast % Share Conservatives 3,667 42% 2,467 47% 2,021 49% Labour 2,284 26% 2,189 42% 1,577 38% Liberal Democrats 1,548 18% 290 6%…

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Why I have had a punt at 16-1 that Theresa May will be next PM

Why I have had a punt at 16-1 that Theresa May will be next PM

Suddenly it is all change at the top in the next CON leader betting By far the best Theresa May bet is the 16/1 from Hills that she’ll be next PM. I’ve just had a punt.bit.ly/u6wr8r — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 13, 2013 The Telegraph story that prompted the betting changes for next CON leader. goo.gl/eUePq twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 13, 2013 Theresa May 4/1 edges Boris 5/1 out of favourite slot for next CON leader. Hague, Hammond…

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In praise of Lord Ashcroft – the UK’s leading commissioner of political polling

In praise of Lord Ashcroft – the UK’s leading commissioner of political polling

A ludicrous attack on the UK’s leading funder of polling @lordashcroft by Peter Oborne goo.gl/BTbKw twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 13, 2013 To claim @lordashcroft has a “dangerous monopoly of political information” goes beyond hype telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/… its evidently nonsense — Sunder Katwala (@sundersays) June 12, 2013 Barmy slightly hysterical attack on @lordashcroft by Peter Oborne. Ashcroft a man who not only created wealth but kept Tory Party afloat — Stewart Jackson MP (@SJacksonMP) June 12, 2013 When it comes…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, nighthawks gives you an opportunity to delurk, make some Changes, Tonight, be a Rebel Rebel, and start posting, I’m sure you’ll be Dancing in the Street once you start posting The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) I wonder if…

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After ICM another phone poll, Ipsos-MORI, has UKIP on 12 percent

After ICM another phone poll, Ipsos-MORI, has UKIP on 12 percent

Balls ahead of Osbo on running nation’s finances The monthly Ipsos-MORI poll for the Evening Standard is out and sees very little change on a month ago. The firm’s UKIP share is 12% which is exactly what ICM had yesterday. In another finding Ed Balls is beating Osborne by 38% to 35% as the one thought most capable at running the nation’s finances. The leadership ratings The latest Ipsos-MORI leadership ratings with Farage down a bit but still the only…

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A year after being touted as Maggie Mark 2 the coming reshuffle could be a big moment for Liz Truss

A year after being touted as Maggie Mark 2 the coming reshuffle could be a big moment for Liz Truss

New Statesman July 2012 Might the comprehensive school girl from Leeds make the cabinet? It’s being said that Dave is planning a reshuffle in July in what will probably be the last big shake-up before GE2015. For those Tory MPs elected in 2010 who aspire to high office this is a big moment and a key question will be whether any of them make it to the cabinet. Given that it is hard to see anyone getting such a promotion…

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Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, nighthawks gives you an opportunity to delurk, why not take a Walk on the wild side, posting on pb will make it a Perfect Day for you. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Rightly or wrongly, I suspect this…

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UKIP drop 6 pts in latest ICM phone poll

UKIP drop 6 pts in latest ICM phone poll

Are we heading to a new normality? The June telephone poll from ICM, one of the three remaining regular surveys that carry out their fieldwork in this way, is out and sees a sharp decline for UKIP after reaching 18% last month. That poll took place while the Farage’s party was enjoying the mass of coverage following its big success in the May 2nd local elections and the good second place in the South Shields by-election. This month the limelight…

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