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Month: June 2013

PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, why not Take That opportunity which Nighthawks gives you to delurk. It Only Takes A Minute to post, Never Forget, we were all lurkers once. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Steve Richards says, both Labour and the Tories…

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If Liam Byrne is right my 12-1 “hung parliament no coalition” bet could be a winner

If Liam Byrne is right my 12-1 “hung parliament no coalition” bet could be a winner

He suggests LAB would go for minority government if it fell short Last July I got a three figure sum on at Hills at 12/1 that GE2015 could produce another hung parliament but the largest party would would try to govern on its own without a coalition. My argument at the time was that I cannot see either the Tories or the Lib Dems wanting to enter into another coalition because there’s too much bad blood on both sides. My…

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Dave rates equally with CON party in latest ComRes online favourability ratings

Dave rates equally with CON party in latest ComRes online favourability ratings

Latest favourable/unfavourable ratings from ComRes online see Balls ahead of Osborne & LAB ahead CON. Dave/EdM = pic.twitter.com/h94WiXZOCw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 15, 2013 Well done to ComRes for sticking with favourable/unfavourable ratings which are widely used in US and which I regard as best format. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 15, 2013 On voting intentions CON slip sees LAB extend ComRes lead LAB extends leader in latest ComRes online poll for IoS/S Mirror Con 26% (-3) Lab 35% (0) UKIP…

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A joyless recovery doesn’t necessarily mean a voteless recovery

A joyless recovery doesn’t necessarily mean a voteless recovery

Will 2015 be more like 1983 or 1997? Since speculation of a triple-dip recession was put onto the backburner with the modest growth recorded in the first quarter of the year, the preponderance of the economic stats have pointed to the embedding of a steady, if unspectacular, recovery.  The employment figures this last week were as good an example as any: jobs were up, unemployment was down and earnings are still failing to maintain pace with prices. To some extent,…

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PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’ve always been a lurker, and you have a Desire to post, Nighthawks gives you an opportunity to delurk, posting on pb is the Sweetest Thing, you’ll find today will become a Beautiful Day if you delurk tonight, hopefully at least One lurker will delurk tonight. The round up of recent events (click on the links below,…

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Going for a 5-year fixed term might have been mistake

Going for a 5-year fixed term might have been mistake

Henry G Manson on the impact of waiting till May 2015 I’m not a big fan of fixed terms, but what stuck me at the start of the Coalition was how little debate there was about the length of fixed term that was being proposed. The majority of fixed term governments are run on a 4 year cycle, yet the Coalition were determined to lock in 5 years of government. This in itself will pose challenges for all parties. From…

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Remember when the Tories recovered from a poll share of 23pc to win a landslide 18 months later

Remember when the Tories recovered from a poll share of 23pc to win a landslide 18 months later

A lot happened between Dec 1981 and June 1983 Whenever people raise the question of whether the Tories can win the next election I like to point to the above opinion poll by Gallup in December 1981. At the time the big story was the rise of the SDP and this poll took place shortly after Shirley Williams had had a spectacular victory in the Crosby by-election. The new party had the media narrative with it and quite a number…

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