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Month: September 2012

If YouGov asked these questions about Boris you can bet that he’d beat Dave, Ed and Nick

If YouGov asked these questions about Boris you can bet that he’d beat Dave, Ed and Nick

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We are being even more disillusioned with all three leaders About twice a month YouGov asks its polling panel to rate the three main party leaders on a range of points and a new set is out this morning. The striking feature is that almost all the movement is downwards and in several cases we are seeing new lows. T The first column in the tables below relates to the mid-August positions. David Cameron Ed Miliband Nick Clegg For me…

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Ed Miliband could be the only party leader left standing

Ed Miliband could be the only party leader left standing

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Both coalition partners might have new leaders With all the talk of a Vince Cable leadership of the Lib Dems and the rumblings within the Tory party could it be that by the general election is the only one of the three main party leaders still to be in post? It’s not that far-fetched because, unlike Labour, both the blues and the yellows have shown themselves to be ruthless with leaders they fear are electoral liabilities. The pressure, of course,…

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C4’s Gary Gibbon says the Tory plots against Cameron continue

C4’s Gary Gibbon says the Tory plots against Cameron continue

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Should you be betting that Dave will be ousted? The Channel 4 political commentator. Gary Gibbon, has returned to the subject of plots against Cameron following the denial by Tory MP, Bob Stewart, that he was considering acting as a stalking horse. He writes:- “…. the grouping I am talking about is quite a bit bigger than two people. It has met a handful of times in the office of a Tory former minister and privy councillor. I believe it’s…

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Mitt Romney slips further in the betting after disappointing post-conventions polling

Mitt Romney slips further in the betting after disappointing post-conventions polling

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On Betfair he’s 32.2% chance down 5 since his Tampa speech It is always said that there are three critical points when a challenger in a presidential race can change the narrative and his prospects. The first comes, usually in the August, with the choice of the V-P nominee. The second comes with the party national conventions and thirdly there are the debates. We’ve now completed two of those and Mitt Romney is still waiting for his breakthrough in both…

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Some difficult polling numbers for Cameron after the big re-shuffle

Some difficult polling numbers for Cameron after the big re-shuffle

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A round-up of points from the Sunday Times YouGov survey Labour lead at 10 in latest YouGov CON 33%, LAB 43%, LD 10%, UKIP 7%; — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 9, 2012 EdM ahead of Dave in today’s YouGov leader ratings.He’s net minus 22% to Dave’s minus 28%. Clegg moves to -58% which is a new low — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 9, 2012 By 45% to 41% the YouGov panel think that Cameron is dislikeable.51% to 33% said he…

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Could Boris return to the Commons in Zac Goldsmith’s Richmond seat?

Could Boris return to the Commons in Zac Goldsmith’s Richmond seat?

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Would Johnson then be in a position to challenge Cameron? Above is the front page of tomorrow’s Mail on Sunday which suggests that something might be about to happen so Boris could make a return to the commons as an MP. The full detail of the report is not available yet from from the image of the front page it appears that Zac Goldsmith is/has/will offer to stand down in his Richmond Park seat so that the Mayor of London…

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Does a swing to the right help or hinder the Tories?

Does a swing to the right help or hinder the Tories?

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David Herdson wonders if the nature of the “floater” is changing Much comment has been made about the apparent shift to the right in the Conservative Party that the reshuffle represented. Before looking at that, it’s worth noting that this was David Cameron acting as Conservative leader rather than Prime Minister: the Lib Dems’ responsibilities at cabinet level remained utterly unchanged in portfolio and personnel. As the parliament wears on, the government resembles less and less a unified coalition and…

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