As the focus turns to Italy Marf gives her view….
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Are Labour supporters now warming to Ed Miliband?
Is this why he’s edging up the leader ratings? YouGov’s weekly leader ratings are out and show Cameron unchanged at 41/52 “well/badly”; Miliband up a net 4 at 28/56 and Clegg up a net 2 at 24/66. The Miliband numbers reflect a trend that’s been seen since before the conference season started – better figures for their leader from Labour voters. Back in mid-September he was at 52/39 – today’s data has that at 62/28. That’s a net move of…
Could Tory protests block the boundary changes?
Observer How seriously should we take IDS’s threat? A big story in the Observer which could have a massive impact on the next general election is a warning by former Tory leader and cabinet minister, Iain Duncan Smith, that Cameron could face a back-bench rebellion unless the boundary changes are abandoned. These, of course, reduce the the number of seats from 650 to 600 and bring in new constituencies which most experts believe would make the task of the Conservatives…
What would be the political fallout from another recession?
Henry G Manson weighs up the options I’ve lived through enough recessions to know the misery it brings hundreds of thousands of individuals, homeowners and business owners. There is something psychological damaging for a country to be in recession. It can feel something akin to a foreign occupation with a skyfull of dark clouds overhead. That is why the last quarter’s 0.5% growth figures were important. Any improvement on expectations must be welcomed and I think Labour should have given…
Should this be the moment for UKIP?
And if not, are they condemned to eternal obscurity? The Euro-elections in 2009 were close to a perfect storm for the minor parties. The electoral system, the (un)importance of the election, the Expenses scandal engulfing the main parties and the availability of candidates to vote for meant that all did well but UKIP especially so, finishing ahead of Labour and the Lib Dems. Come the General Election 11 months later, they were back in low single figures. The events since…
Into the weekend in the PB NightHawks cafe
Once again the overnight discuss can continue – under the banner of Marf’s spoof of the Hopper painting. Have a good night.
Marf’s take on the Greek Eurozone crisis
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In spite of the allegations Cain continues to top the GOP polls
Why the mismatch with the nomination betting? The Georgia businessman, Herman Cain, who is involved in a battle over past allegations of sexual harassment, is continuing to lead the polling of likely primary voters for the Republican party nomination for the White House. The latest, from Rasmussen, has Cain with 26%, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney on 23% and the big mover, ex-House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 14% support. No other GOP contender is in double figures. The initial assumption…